Posts Tagged ‘Corofin’

Corofin V Mountbellew-Moylough 2015 Galway County Final

October 14, 2015

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Attacks Attack Rate Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 50 35 70% 26 74% 16 62% +3.898
Mountbellew 45 31 69% 25 81% 12 48% -0.887
Avg (70 mins) 37.0 28.7 77.7% 14.7 51.2%

95 possessions, in a 60 minute game, is quite high. Pro-rated over 70 minutes that’s somewhere in the 105 – 110 range which compares favourably with the 96, 95 & 102 recorded in the three All Ireland semi-finals earlier in the year. Now undoubtedly this elevated volume is aided by the kick passing approach of both teams but that is still a high octane game for club football in October.

Mountbellew-Moylough will have their regrets, as we will observe later, but ultimately it was Corofin’s accuracy that carried the day. Especially on goal chances. Corofin had six attempts at goal scoring 3-00, Mountbellew-Moylough had five returning with just the one point to show for it.

Tell me if you’ve heard this before – goals win games.

 

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 21 13 62% +4.242
Mounbellew 16 4 25% -2.530
Avgs (70 mins) 21.4 9.7 45.3%

Mountbellew-Moylough will be disappointed with all three goals they conceded. The first came from a tapped kickout that saw Steede carry the ball unchallenged for a good 30 metres before rifling home. Someone had to come out and meet him. The second came after good defensive plays from Mountbellew-Moylough saw them twice dispossess Corofin in an attacking position only to kick a resulting free straight to a Corofin man. The final goal came when the game had ebbed away but still Farragher was out towards the sideline when the full back dived in. Stand Farragher up and he most likely will recycle the ball allowing the defence to reset.

With just one shot less Mountbellew-Moylough did have their chance none more so than at the start of the second half. There they completely stifled Corofin managing to attempt eight shots in a row before Ian Burke’s fisted point in the 41st. Again, much to Mountbellew-Moylough’s regret I’m sure, they only scored 0-02 in this period of dominance.

From there on in their attack completely floundered to the extent that they did not score from play in the entire second half.

What of Corofin? Yes they were much more clinical on their goal chances (not forgetting Sice’s disallowed effort in the first half) but their point taking on top of this was sublime converting 67% (10 from 15); compared to inter county returns the expected haul from those 15 shots is 11.5 points.
Ian Burke had an immediate impact when he came on scoring 1 – 03 from his five chances whilst Martin Farragher also bagged 1-03 from his five as well as laying Burke’s goal on a plate.

 

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
J Leonard (Corofin) 2 1 50% -0.41
Martin Farragher (Corofin) 1 1 100% +0.40
L Silke (Corofin) 1 0 0% -0.50
C Kenny (Mountbellew) 7 7 100% +1.74
B Donnellan (Mountbellew) 1 1 100% +0.53
M Daly (Mountbellew) 1 0 0% -0.62
team avgs (70 mins) 7.2 4.9 68.7%

An excellent day from Mounbellow with a combined Success Rate of 89% (8 from 9) and a weighting of +1.64. Kenny was the chief architect converting all seven of his attempts. That weighting shows that when compared to inter county matches Kenny would have been expected to get ~0-05 from his seven attempts.

A below par effort from Corfin converting 60% (3 from 5) though they converted those they would have expected to; the two they missed were both from further out around the 45.

 

Kickouts

Corofin’s kickouts Won % Turned into an attack % Shot %
Corofin 10 59% 7 70% 6 60%
Mounbellew 7 41% 6 86% 4 57%
Mounbellew’s kickouts Won % Turned into an attack % Shot %
Corofin 12 55% 7 58% 5 42%
Mountbellew 10 45% 5 50% 5 50%

Not much by way of variance in Mountbellew-Moylough’s kickouts. All bar the very last kickout travelled past the 45 whilst 68% (15 of 22) went past the 65. Of the 15 that went long Corofin came out on top 8 – 7 which is essentially as expected (50:50 kickouts end up being 50:50 shocker!)

Based purely on the numbers Corofin look like they were in control of their own kickouts however they were far from secure. Mountbellew-Moylough won two of four short kickouts attempted as well as four of nine mid-range kickouts. Again much to Mountbellew-Moylough’s regret they did not manage to score a point from those six kickout wins.

 

Shot Charts

Corofin’s shooting
Corofin shooting v Mountbellow 2015

Mountbellew-Moylough’sshooting
Mountbellow shooting v Corofin 2015
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, red = goal attempt, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

 

Players with >= 3 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Martin Farragher (Corofin) 5 4 80% +2.08
I Burke (Corofin) 5 4 80% +1.88
E Finnerty (Mountbellew) 5 1 20% -1.10
R Steede (Corofin) 3 2 67% +0.66
C Kenny (Mountbellew) 3 1 33% -0.04

Corofin V Slaughtneil 2015 Club Championship Final

March 19, 2015

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Attacks Attack Rate Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 50 34 68% 25 74% 15 60% +1.205
Slaughtneil 44 31 70% 22 71% 7 32% -5.128
Avg (70 mins) 37.0 28.7 77.7% 14.7 51.2%

Attack Rates, and Shot Rates, were quite even showing that both teams moved the ball inside the opposition’s 45, and also got shots off once in there, at very similar rates. For all that Corofin had 6 extra possessions having three shots less, whilst not ideal, is not insurmountable. It was what the teams did with their shots that was the difference.

Slaughtneil’s weighting is somewhat skewed by (a) the fisted attempt in close to goal that went wide and (b) the missed penalty late in the game but there is no hiding from the fact that their shooting was just not up to scratch. Symptomatic of this was that they had six players try one shot apiece – all six missed. A further three players had two attempts at goal missing both.

Like in their semi-final (Success Rate of 60% off 15 shots) Corofin were very accurate producing returns above the inter county average. Indeed their whole performance was very similar to their last outing against St. Vincent’s where they produced a stat line of 49 possessions, 32 attacks, 25 shots and 15 scores.

1st Half

Team Possessions Attacks Attack Rate Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 32 23 72% 17 74% 9 53% +0.212
Slaughtneil 25 15 60% 9 60% 3 33% -1.752

2nd Half

Team Possessions Attacks Attack Rate Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 18 11 61% 8 73% 6 75% +0.993
Slaughtneil 19 16 84% 13 81% 4 31% -3.376

The game completely slowed down in the second half with a total of 37 possessions as against the 57 produced in the first half. Slaughtneil showed great fight, producing five more shots in that second half, but again their aforementioned lack of accuracy undid their efforts.

Whilst Corofin were deadly accurate in that second half the damage was done in the first where they just blitzkrieged Slaughtneil. There was a 15 minute period where Slaughtneil did not have a shot (from ~8th min to the ~23rd). In this period Corofin got off ten shots scoring 1-05 and effectively built a lead they would not relinquish.

 

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 19 10 53% +0.750
Slaughtneil 16 4 25% -3.621
Avgs (70 mins) 21.4 9.7 45.3%

Four from fifteen when going for points just won’t do it. It was not as if they were trying absolute spectaculars either as only two of their shots were outside the 20m line on the wings. Also I only charted five of the point attempts having pressure applied – the shooting boots were just not on.

Despite being behind for a large portion of the game Slaughtneil did not have an attempt on goal until the 59th minute – something the stout Corofin defence can take a lot of credit for as it was late in the second half before St. Vincents had a shot at goal (from play) as well.

Whilst Corofin’s goal was what put real scoreboard pressure on Slaughtneil it was Lundy’s burst of three point in under 90 seconds mid-way through the first half that really underlined the difference in the teams. He was deadly accurate for Corofin over the two games with a combined stat line of 7 points from 10 attempts (weighting of +2.069); simply outstanding accuracy when the average return is c45%.

 

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
G Sice (Corofin) 4 4 100% +0.786
L Silke (Corofin) 2 1 50% -0.331
C Bradley (Slaughtneil) 3 1 33% -0.916
P Kelly (Slaughtneil) 1 1 100% 0.163
Paul Bradley (Slaughtneil) 1 1 100% +0.064
C Doherty (Slaughtneil) 1 0 0% -0.818
team avgs (70 mins) 7.2 4.9 68.7%

Over the semi-final and final Gary Sice was seven from seven from frees with a weighting of +1.176. That sort of reliability is priceless.

Bradley gets somewhat badly treated given his three attempts were all in and around the 45m line but having converted the first you would have high hopes of getting one from the subsequent two attempts.

 

Kickouts

Corofin’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Corofin 11 69% 7 64% 6 55%
Slaughtneil 5 31% 3 60% 2 40%
Slaughtneil’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Corofin 10 56% 8 80% 7 70%
Slaughtneil 8 44% 7 88% 6 75%

In the aforementioned 15 minute spell, where Corofin scored 1-05, they hemmed Slaughtneil in winning four of the kickouts that resulted from the six scores. It was somewhat surprising that Slaughtneil did not try to relieve the siege by getting their hands on a short kickout or two. It was obvious that their strategy was not working when they lost 8 out of their first 11 kickouts but they never deviated. Indeed in what must be a record in such back to back high profile games Slaughtneil didn’t hit one short kickout in either the semi-final or the final.

Although one of their short kickouts went astray Corofin were always in control of their own ball.

 

Shot Charts

Corofin’s shooting
Corofin shooting v Slaughtneil

Slaughtneil’s shooting
Slaughtneil shooting v Corofin
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

 

Players with >= 3 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
M Lundy (Corofin) 4 3 75% +0.882
G Bradley (Slaughtneil) 4 3 75% +0.791
I Burke (Corofin) 4 1 25% -0.692

Corofin V St. Vincents 2015 Club Championship

February 17, 2015

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Attacks Attack % Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 49 32 65% 25 78% 15 60% +1.004
St. Vincents 48 33 69% 20 61% 10 50% -0.346
Avg (70 mins) 37.0 28.7 77.7% 14.7 51.2%

Overall a pretty even game except for when it came to the sharp end of the attack.

Both teams had, relatively speaking, the same volume of possessions and attacks but Corofin were more adept at getting shots off and were also more accurate with the shots they attempted.

A quick note on the possession and shot volumes. The possession volume is a new metric but Kerry & Mayo combined for 96 possessions in their opening league encounter – over 70 minutes. 97 possessions over 60 minutes indicates just how free flowing the game was. Similarly pro rating an average of 37 attacks at inter county level to 60 minutes means that the average shots per team should have come in at 31.7 – these returns are bang on inter county standard.

1st Half

Team Possessions Attacks Attack % Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 26 19 73% 16 84% 9 56% +0.606
St. Vincents 24 18 75% 10 56% 7 70% +1.896

2nd Half

Team Possessions Attacks Attack % Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 23 13 57% 9 69% 6 67% +0.398
St. Vincents 24 15 63% 10 67% 3 30% -2.242

Interesting half on half comparisons. Corofin were brilliant in that first half getting 16 shots from 19 attacks whilst also returning well above inter county standard on their shooting. Returning a 56% Success Rate and a positive weighting whilst missing a penalty is very impressive!

St. Vincent’s execution in that first half matched Corofin’s overall excellence converting 70% of their shots. Quality on quality. Unfortunately for both the returns dipped in the second half however this was more troublesome for St. Vincents. They could not maintain the shooting accuracy only scoring three points from ten attempts. Without a significant uptick in shot production this drop off enabled Corofin to get over the line quite comfortably in the end.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Corofin 20 11 55% +1.368
St. Vincents 16 7 44% -0.366
Avgs (70 mins) 21.4 9.7 45.3%

Going for points both teams recorded 50% Success Rates; Corofin – 8 from 16 with a weighting of +0.47; St. Vincents 7 from 14 with a weighting of +0.31.

Corofin however scored 1-02 from their 4 goal attempts whilst St. Vincents returned nothing from their two attempts. This (and the penalties of course) was the real difference between the teams.

We can’t really leave here without mentioning Michael Lundy. He was on fire converting 4 of his 6 point attempts but it is the hidden stats, that won’t show up anywhere else, that are more impressive.

It was he who was fouled for Sice’s three free kick conversions. It was he who set up Farragher for the goal right after providing the pass into Sice for the penalty. Oh he also provided at least one assist that I saw. All immense. But what I liked best was Corofin’s third point and his first. It came immediately after Vincent’s totemic player, Darren Connolly, had gotten on the score sheet with a lovely point from the right. Next attack Lundy takes it upon himself to shoot. Consciously or otherwise it was a statement of intent and defiance.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
G Sice (Corofin) 3 3 100% +0.390
I Burke (Corofin) 1 1 100% +0.064
G Delaney (Corofin) 1 0 0% -0.818
T Quinn (St. Vincents) 3 2 67% -0.004
D Connolly (St. Vincents) 1 1 100% +0.064
team avgs (70 mins) 7.2 4.9 68.7%

All the regulation frees were converted.

The deadballs really revolved around the penalties. In three years 88% of penalties have been converted hence why Delany’s weighting is so negative – a penalty miss is rare enough. On the flip side Quinn’s weighting doesn’t really get a bump for converting his.

It was also interesting how both teams approached their respective 45s. St. Vincents took their time relying on Quinn (whose attempt dropped short) whereas Corofin took a quick one looking to engineer a shot closer in.

Kickouts

Corofin’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Corofin 9 56% 5 56% 5 56%
St. Vincents 7 44% 6 86% 3 43%
St. Vincent’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Corofin 8 47% 6 75% 4 50%
St. Vincents 9 53% 5 56% 3 33%

St. Vincents struggled here. Whilst they won the same volume of kickouts as Corofin they converted three fewer of these wins into attacks. Dig deeper again though and you’ll find that Corofin converted six of the nine shots that emanated from winning kickouts into points. St. Vincents? Only the one.

Shot Charts

Corofin’s shooting
Corifin shooting

St. Vincents’s shooting
Vincents shooting
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play,

Players with >= 3 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
M Lundy (Corofin) 6 4 67% +1.187
Michael Farragher (Corofin) 5 3 60% +0.979
I Burke (Corofin) 4 4 100% +1.365
D Connolly (St. Vincents) 3 2 67% +0.782
R Treanor (St. Vinvents) 3 2 67% +0.451