Corofin V Mountbellew-Moylough 2015 Galway County Final

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team	Possessions	Attacks	Attack Rate	Shots	Shot Rate	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
Corofin	50	35	70%	26	74%	16	62%	+3.898
Mountbellew	45	31	69%	25	81%	12	48%	-0.887
Avg (70 mins)		37.0		28.7	77.7%	14.7	51.2%

95 possessions, in a 60 minute game, is quite high. Pro-rated over 70 minutes that’s somewhere in the 105 – 110 range which compares favourably with the 96, 95 & 102 recorded in the three All Ireland semi-finals earlier in the year. Now undoubtedly this elevated volume is aided by the kick passing approach of both teams but that is still a high octane game for club football in October.

Mountbellew-Moylough will have their regrets, as we will observe later, but ultimately it was Corofin’s accuracy that carried the day. Especially on goal chances. Corofin had six attempts at goal scoring 3-00, Mountbellew-Moylough had five returning with just the one point to show for it.

Tell me if you’ve heard this before – goals win games.

 

Shots from Play

Team	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
Corofin	21	13	62%	+4.242
Mounbellew	16	4	25%	-2.530
Avgs (70 mins)	21.4	9.7	45.3%

Mountbellew-Moylough will be disappointed with all three goals they conceded. The first came from a tapped kickout that saw Steede carry the ball unchallenged for a good 30 metres before rifling home. Someone had to come out and meet him. The second came after good defensive plays from Mountbellew-Moylough saw them twice dispossess Corofin in an attacking position only to kick a resulting free straight to a Corofin man. The final goal came when the game had ebbed away but still Farragher was out towards the sideline when the full back dived in. Stand Farragher up and he most likely will recycle the ball allowing the defence to reset.

With just one shot less Mountbellew-Moylough did have their chance none more so than at the start of the second half. There they completely stifled Corofin managing to attempt eight shots in a row before Ian Burke’s fisted point in the 41st. Again, much to Mountbellew-Moylough’s regret I’m sure, they only scored 0-02 in this period of dominance.

From there on in their attack completely floundered to the extent that they did not score from play in the entire second half.

What of Corofin? Yes they were much more clinical on their goal chances (not forgetting Sice’s disallowed effort in the first half) but their point taking on top of this was sublime converting 67% (10 from 15); compared to inter county returns the expected haul from those 15 shots is 11.5 points.
Ian Burke had an immediate impact when he came on scoring 1 – 03 from his five chances whilst Martin Farragher also bagged 1-03 from his five as well as laying Burke’s goal on a plate.

 

Shots from deadballs

Player	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
J Leonard (Corofin)	2	1	50%	-0.41
Martin Farragher (Corofin)	1	1	100%	+0.40
L Silke (Corofin)	1	0	0%	-0.50
C Kenny (Mountbellew)	7	7	100%	+1.74
B Donnellan (Mountbellew)	1	1	100%	+0.53
M Daly (Mountbellew)	1	0	0%	-0.62
team avgs (70 mins)	7.2	4.9	68.7%

An excellent day from Mounbellow with a combined Success Rate of 89% (8 from 9) and a weighting of +1.64. Kenny was the chief architect converting all seven of his attempts. That weighting shows that when compared to inter county matches Kenny would have been expected to get ~0-05 from his seven attempts.

A below par effort from Corfin converting 60% (3 from 5) though they converted those they would have expected to; the two they missed were both from further out around the 45.

 

Kickouts

Corofin’s kickouts	Won	%	Turned into an attack	%	Shot	%
Corofin	10	59%	7	70%	6	60%
Mounbellew	7	41%	6	86%	4	57%
Mounbellew’s kickouts	Won	%	Turned into an attack	%	Shot	%
Corofin	12	55%	7	58%	5	42%
Mountbellew	10	45%	5	50%	5	50%

Not much by way of variance in Mountbellew-Moylough’s kickouts. All bar the very last kickout travelled past the 45 whilst 68% (15 of 22) went past the 65. Of the 15 that went long Corofin came out on top 8 – 7 which is essentially as expected (50:50 kickouts end up being 50:50 shocker!)

Based purely on the numbers Corofin look like they were in control of their own kickouts however they were far from secure. Mountbellew-Moylough won two of four short kickouts attempted as well as four of nine mid-range kickouts. Again much to Mountbellew-Moylough’s regret they did not manage to score a point from those six kickout wins.

 

Shot Charts

Corofin’s shooting

Mountbellew-Moylough’sshooting

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, red = goal attempt, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

 

Players with >= 3 shots from play

	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
Martin Farragher (Corofin)	5	4	80%	+2.08
I Burke (Corofin)	5	4	80%	+1.88
E Finnerty (Mountbellew)	5	1	20%	-1.10
R Steede (Corofin)	3	2	67%	+0.66
C Kenny (Mountbellew)	3	1	33%	-0.04

Tags: Club, Corofin, galway, Mountbellew