Tyrone V Dublin 2014 League

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team	Possessions	Shots	Shot Rate	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
Tyrone	44	32	73%	16	50%	-1.284
Dublin	35	25	71%	13	52%	0.456
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg)	35.8	27.6	77.2%	14.1	51.0%

Despite the hammer blow of being 2-01 behind without having ventured into the opposition’s 45 Tyrone did very well to give themselves a chance in this game. If they had shown the same levels of accuracy in the 2nd quarter of the game, just after Dublin’s third goal, as they did towards the end of the game they would have beaten Dublin.

Following MacAuley’s goal Tyrone’s next 11 possessions yielded;

point – wide – no shot – wide – wide – wide – wide – short – no shot – wide.

In that same period they only coughed up two shots to Dublin (with no scores). They were utterly dominant but could not convert that dominance into closing the gap.

Shots from Play

Team	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
Tyrone	18	6	33%	-2.155
Dublin	20	10	50%	+1.024
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13)	20.3	9.2	45.4%

Dublin, as is their wont, were goal hungry in Omagh on Sunday. Of their shots from play 40% were attempts for a goal (yielding 3-01 – or a Success Rate of 50%) with a nice symmetrical 50% Success Rate on shots for points (6 from 12).

By contrast only 11% of Tyrone’s shots from play were goal-ward bound with a poor Success Rate of 37.5% (6 from 16) for their shots for points.
It was the volume of shots from deadballs that allowed Tyrone to get back into the game. Or put another way it was Dublin’s ill discipline that ensured they had a much nervier finish than one would have expected after 20 minutes.

Shots from deadballs

Player	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
D Connolly (Dublin)	5	3	60%	-0.568
D McCurry (Tyrone)	7	4	57%	-0.416
N Morgan (Tyrone)	3	3	100%	+1.155
R O’Neill (Tyrone)	2	2	100%	+0.313
P Harte (Tyrone)	1	1	100%	+0.593
C McAlliskey (Tyrone)	1	0	0%	-0.773
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ)	7.3	4.9	66.7%

The point that immediately jumps off the page is just how many frees Dublin conceded within shooting range – 13 including a penalty with none of them occurring outside the 45m line. Considering the Championship average is just below 8, and the expectation is that the Black Card effect has reduced this during this year’s League campaign, that is a remarkable number.

Tyrone employed their platoon approach (against Cork 5 players combined for 11 deadball attempts) with 6 different players showing a combined Success Rate of 71% (10 from 14 with a weighting of +0.871).

Morgan & O’Neill, when he came on, had excellent returns whilst McCurry followed up the below average Cork game with another sub par performance. From the two games he is now showing a Success Rate of 60% (6 from 10) with a weighting of -1.083. Given the proximity of some of his misses he really should have one, if not two, more points from frees.

Kickouts
Overall there were 50 kickouts however due to Dublin’s whiurlwind start the two Tyrone kickouts after the goals were lost to replays whilst Dublin lost one of theirs as the referee blew to throw the ball up.

Of the remaining 47 Tyrone performed very well winning 55% (26 from 47) and eliciting 5 more shots than Dublin from the kickouts they won compared to those won by Dublin (14 shots to 9).

Tyrone were dominant on their own kickouts winning 16 (out of 20) turning 13 of those won into an attacking possession and getting 8 shots off. Dublin managed 3 shots from the 4 Tyrone kickouts they won.

Dublin obviously missed the accuracy of Cluxton for although they won a comfortable majority of their own kickouts (17 out of 27 – 67%) they were only able to convert 53%, as opposed to 81% for Tyrone above, of those won (9 out of 17) into an attacking possession. These nine possessions resulted in six shots.

Of the ten kickouts Dublin lost Tyrone were able to convert nine into a possession and six into a shot.

Despite winning seven more kickouts than Tyrone did the ultimate outcome was even (nine possessions + six shots). The mix of kickouts was the same as when Cluxton is at the helm but that drop in the execution precision enabled Tyrone to nullify a potent Dublin weapon.

Players with >= 2 shots from play
Against Cork it was highlighted how outside of Coney & McCurry Tyrone’s attack did not function. They were 3 from 15 with a weighting of -3.269. That sufficed against Cork as Coney & McCurry were excellent (Coney’s day against Cork was ridiculously good – hitting eight from nine)

In this game they were 4 from 12 with a weighting of -1.721. This time it was the deadball striking that maintained Tyrone as McCurry & Coney only hit two from six themselves.

So outside of Coney & McCurry Tyrone’s shooting from play from the last two games has a Success Rate of 25.9% (7 from 27) and a weighting of -4.99.

	Shots	Scores	Success Rate	Weighting
D McCurry (Tyrone)	4	2	50%	+0.423
K McManamon (Dublin)	4	1	25%	-1.231
D Connolly (Dublin)	3	2	67%	+0.643
A Brogan (Dublin)	3	1	33%	-0.210
S Cavanagh (Tyrone)	3	1	33%	-0.614
J Whelan (Dublin)	2	2	100%	+1.185
Mattie Donnelly (Tyrone)	2	1	50%	+0.094
Mark Donnelly (Tyrone)	2	1	50%	-0.125
K Coney (Tyrone)	2	0	0%	-0.858
E O’Gara (Dublin)	2	0	0%	-0.924

Tags: 2014, Dublin, League, Tyrone