Kerry V Cork 2014 League

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kerry 33 26 79% 12 46% -2.548
Cork 36 30 83% 20 67% +5.348
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

A spectacular attacking return from Cork. The majority of the damage was done in the second half scoring 12 times from 16 shots but they were also very efficient in the first half when they hit 57% (8 from 14). A Success Rate of 67% was only seen once in all of last year’s Championship when Donegal dispatched Tyrone.

Kerry’s numbers are particularly poor but the Success Rate & Weighting are artificially low after a 4 shot goal mouth scramble led to one point. Had Stephen O’Brien converted a simple point attempt rather than hitting the post, and creating the scramble, Kerry would have had an 83% Shot Rate & a 48% Success Rate – still below average mind.

Of course the corollary of that is the volume of possessions would have been 30 – at such a low volume your shooting has to be amazingly accurate to even contend with an average team let alone one hitting scores for fun like Cork

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kerry 19 7 37% -2.431
Cork 28 19 68% +6.031
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

The foundation of Cork’s excellent numbers were not only built on that second half display but also on their shooting from play in that second half.

Brian Hurley had a monster of a day converting 7 of his 11 (!!) shots from play. Whilst getting 11 shots is almost as impressive as a Success Rate of 63% (remember the average is c45%) he was very able supported.

Between them Kerrigan, O’Neill & Hays converted all their chances to give returns of 2-05 from 7 shots with a Weighting of +3.542.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
B Hurley (Cork) 1 1 100% +0.087
D O’Connor (Cork) 1 0 100% -0.773
J O’Donoghue (Kerry) 3 2 67% -0.156
P Geaney (Kerry) 2 2 100% +0.246
B Sheehan (Kerry) 2 1 50% -0.208
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

Average enough returns from Kerry.

Cork scored 2-18 … and only had one point from frees. Whilst that is noteworthy in itself the very fact that they only won two frees is probably more eye opening. Was this due to excellent Kerry defensive discipline? Cork tactics of shooting on sight thus not giving Kerry defenders a chance to foul? Or Kerry defenders just not being tight enough to their men?

Not convinced it is any one of those in isolation but when an opponent racks up 2-18 I would be concerned about my defence’s intensity when only 0-01 comes from frees

Kickouts
Kerry persisted with the tactics we have witnessed in the Kildare & Tyrone games by only having one short kickout (the very last one as it happens) throughout the game. They won 58% (15 out of 26) of their own kickouts but the outcomes were basically a wash. Out of the 26 kickouts they engineered two more shots than Cork did (10 shots to 8).

Cork’s kickouts were more nuanced. Unfortunately we didn’t catch where two of their 21 landed but of the remainder 5 went short, 11 went mid and only 3 went long. Cork won 68% (13 out of 21) but unlike Kerry they managed to open up a bit of a gap on the shot creation; they got 9 shots from the 13 kickouts they won whilst Kerry managed 4 from the 8 that they won.

So despite Kerry having five more kickouts Cork managed to engineer three more shots

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
B Hurley (Cork) 11 7 64% +2.112
J O’Donoghue (Kerry) 4 2 50% +0.052
S O’Brien (Kerry) 4 1 25% -1.323
P Kerrigan (Cork) 3 3 100% +1.224
C O’Neill (Cork) 2 2 100% +1.234
J Hayes (Cork) 2 2 100% +1.085
P Geaney (Kerry) 2 1 50% +0.234
D Casey (Kerry) 2 1 50% +0.158
D Cahalane (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.142
D Goulding (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.142
F Goold (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.142
K O’Leary (Cork) 2 0 0% -1.207
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