Mayo V Down

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Mayo 51 41 80% 21 51% -0.83
Down 24 18 75% 11 61% +0.06
avg 38.5 27.6 71.7% 13.9 50.4% 0.00

This was the first Mayo game I charted this year (thanks to Sky+ gremlins for the Connacht final!) and that’s certainly an eye-opening entry.

To have 51 possessions in a game is remarkable – they absolutely lorded it over Down. Despite the fact that they had so much possession they weren’t wasteful – their shot rate was well up there with the best performance of the weekend (Cork @ 84%).

Perhaps the one area of concern may be that despite the pressure being off in the second half they missed a number of easy chances – an above average success rate with a negative Expected Return shows that they missed more of the shots they were expected to get.

Down just couldn’t get enough primary ball to make an impression. Their shot rate has been fairly consistent (75% in this game; 76% vs Donegal & 77% vs Monaghan) but if you know that you are going to convert three quarters of your possessions into shots then you also know that 24 possessions isn’t enough.

From play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Mayo 33 15 45% -0.82
Down 11 5 45% -0.42
avg 20.5 9.2 44.9% 0.00

From deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
C O’Connor (Mayo) 8 6 75% -0.01
A Carr (Down) 5 5 100% +0.93
L Doyle (Down) 1 1 100% +0.06
A Rogers (Down) 1 0 0% -0.51
team avgs 7.2 4.8 66.2% 0.00

Again Mayo’s shooting was a bit below par but if you are taking 33 shots from play in a game you can afford for your returns to be average.

One point that will worry Mayo is the loss of Andy Moran. He ‘only’ scored one point from play however he set up Doherty’s goal, won a 45m and was also fouled for 3 frees that led to points. This was all mainly in the first half when the game was still alive.

Cillian O’Connor’s free taking was average – he missed a 45m (isn’t everyone this year??) and a free out on the right hand side. He has a round the corner action when striking a free; although he scored two frees from inside the 21m on the right hand side it is noticeable that the one free he missed was on that side also. I have only ever charted this game so I am unsure what his strike rate is like – however this may be an issue if following games end up being close.

A quick word on Dillon – as can be seen below he had a terrific shooting day.

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
M Conroy (Mayo) 6 3 50% +0.12
A Dillon (Mayo) 4 4 100% +2.42
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 4 2 50% -0.08
C O’Connor (Mayo) 4 1 25% -0.81
A Carr (Down) 2 2 100% +1.25
B Coulter (Down) 2 2 100% +0.82
A Moran (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.04
J Doherty (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.04
A O’Shea (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.08
E Varley (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.08
A Freeman (Mayo) 2 0 0% -1.10

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