Fermanagh V Westmeath 2015 Qualifier

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team	Possessions	Attacks	Attack %	Shots	Shot %	Scores	Success %	Weighting
Fermanagh	48	37	77%	31	84%	14	45%	-1.508
Westmeath	47	36	77%	25	69%	7	28%	-6.793
Avg		37.0		28.7	77.7%	14.7	51.2%

An even enough game in terms of how much ball the teams had (possessions) and where they had it (attacks). The differential was in the attacking play and the accuracy of the shooting.

Once inside the 45 Fermanagh were able to get shots off (though the Shot Rate was boosted by their willingness to shoot from the wings – more of that anon) however Westmeath seemed to run out of ideas once met by Fermanagh’s defensive screen. 25 shots from 36 attacks is a low enough return.

On top of that, for the second game in a row, Westmeath’s accuracy was very poor. It was so poor that Fermanagh could have a below average outing and still win easily.

Shots from Play

Team	Shots	Scores	Success %	Weighting
Fermanagh	21	8	38%	-0.845
Westmeath	17	4	24%	-4.026
Avgs	21.4	9.7	45.3%

There was only one goal attempt in the game which Corrigan finished with aplomb.

There was one occasion in the first half however when Fermanagh, after overturning the ball high up the pitch, had a running overlap which they could have converted with an attacking hand pass. Instead the pass went square and Westmeath got back. Against Dublin they will need to be more aggressive.

When going for a point Fermanagh were poor converting 35% (7 from 20) with a weighting of -1.507. The main reason for this was where Fermanagh took their shots from. Only 35% were central – of the remainder Fermanagh converted 31% on 13 attempts. If you are going to shoot from wide you better have your shooting boots on – if they’re not on you better get more central.

Whilst not wishing to be overly critical of Westmeath that is now two games where they have trailed for long periods of the second half and in which they have not manufactured one shot on goal. As well as that their shooting from play was decidedly poor converting just 25% (8 from 32) of their point attempts for a combined weighting of -6.81. Combine both elements (poor shooting and no goal attempts) and you get some dismal returns from your possession.

Shots from deadballs

Player	Shots	Scores	Success %	Weighting
T Corrigan (Fermanagh)	6	5	83%	+0.853
S Quigley (Fermanagh)	4	1	25%	-1.516
J Connellan (Westmeath)	3	2	67%	-0.295
R Connellan (Westmeath)	3	1	33%	-1.062
P Sharry (Westmeath)	1	0	0%	-0.621
G Egan (Westmeath)	1	0	0%	-0.789

Only for Corrigan! In the first half there were 12 shots at goal from a deadball – with only four converted (33% versus an average of ~70%). The sequence is below. As the half was bookended with three points there were 8 misses from 9 attempts at one stage.

Point, Point, Wide, Wide, Wide, Wide, Point, Wide, Short, Wide, Wide, Point

Corrigan converted all five of his frees with the only miss being a rather rash attempt from a sideline ball.

Heslin being out proved a big hurdle for Westmeath to overcome and this was no more evident than when they turned down three opportunities for a shot at goal from a free inside Fermanagh’s 45. You have to imagine Heslin would have gotten two of them thus boosting Westmeath and placing great pressure on Fermanagh – in that first half particularly.

Kickouts

Fermanagh’s kickouts	Won	%	Turned into an attack	%	Shot	%
Fermanagh	10	56%	7	70%	5	50%
Westmeath	8	44%	8	100%	6	75%
Westmeath’s kickouts	Won	%	Turned into an attack	%	Shot	%
Fermanagh	10	34%	9	90%	7	70%
Westmeath	19	66%	15	79%	11	58%

We missed one of Fermanagh’s kickouts. Of the remaining 17 three went short meaning that of the 14 “contestable” kickouts Westmeath won the battle 8 – 6. This will have to be an area of concern going in to the next day..

Turnovers

Team giving up the ball	Pass	In the Tackle	Shot	Other
Fermanagh	11	4	1	3
Westmeath	10	8	6	1

Nothing too earth shattering here though Fermanagh did give up three turnovers inside their own 65 which Westmeath were unable to convert to a score. They will have to mind the ball better against Dublin

Players with >= 3 shots from play

	Shots	Scores	Success %	Weighting
T Corrigan (Fermanagh)	5	3	60%	+0.920
S Quigley (Fermanagh)	4	1	25%	-0.729
S Dempsey (Westmeath)	4	1	25%	-0.979
D McCusker (Fermanagh)	3	2	67%	+0.807
J Connellan (Westmeath)	3	2	67%	+0.733

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Tags: 2015, championship, Fermanagh, Westmeath