Dublin V Monaghan 2015 League semi final

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Attacks Attack % Shots Shot % Scores Success % Weighting
Dublin 48 41 85% 28 68% 17 61% +2.626
Monaghan 39 33 85% 28 85% 16 57% +2.832
Avg 37.0 28.7 77.7% 14.7 51.2%

In terms of outcomes both teams posted similar numbers – just one score in the difference with high Success Rates & Weightings.

How both teams went about amassing their shots was the big difference. Dublin had a huge lead in terms of possessions, fuelled as we will see below by their utter dominance at kickouts, and whilst they converted those possessions to attacks at a high rate (85%) they then stalled once they got inside the Monaghan’s 45. This flow – a high attack rate combined with a low shot rate – is to be somewhat expected when you come up against a defensive set up which Monaghan would generally be regarded as.

Monaghan on the other hand were living on comparative scraps but they were ruthlessly efficient with what they had. They had a full 8 attacks less than Dublin but managed the same volume of shots. And those shots were no forlorn haymakers – their accuracy was on a par with Dublin.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success % Weighting
Dublin 20 10 50% +1.032
Monaghan 21 11 52% +2.283
Avgs 21.4 9.7 45.3%

Again excellent shooting from both teams though Dublin will possibly be concerned with the lack of cutting edge in the second half. Yes they scored 0-08 in that second half but that only contained six shots from play in that entire half with only two in the last 25 minutes.

Monaghan’s accuracy from play can, in the main, be attributed to C McManus with a generous helping from D Clerkin. McManus was 5 from 6 with a weighting of +2.566 – his only miss was a dubious one as well coming in from the wing on the right I adjudged he attempted a shot with the outside of his foot – he may well have been attempting a pass across the goal.

Clerkin came on at half time and managed 3 points from 4 shots with a weighting of +1.258. Some cameo.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success % Weighting
D Rock (Dublin) 8 7 88% +1.594
C McManus (Monaghan) 3 3 100% +0.955
R Beggan (Monaghan) 3 1 33% -0.569
P Finlay (Monaghan) 1 1 100% +0.163
team avgs 7.2 4.9 68.7%

All the regulation frees were converted.

Due to the nature of the weighting Beggan probably gets harshly dealt here. His three attempts were monstrous ones (two long, one wide on the 45) so 1pt feels about par. A negative weighting is harsh.

Monaghan will be disappointed with their defensive discipline. As highlighted they had stymied Dublin in the second half however let them keep the scoreboard ticking over through frees. All Rock’s frees were “gettable” and given their hitherto fore reliance on deadballs you would think Monaghan would be equally as conscious of not giving them up at the other end.

Turnovers

Team “coughing up” possession Volume Shots from Turnovers %
Dublin 23 15 65%
Monaghan 13 7 54%

A very low turnover volume from Monaghan – considering how few possessions they had compared to Dublin it was imperative that they make the most of what they had. This they did.

Kickouts

Dublin’s kickouts Won % Turned into an attack % Shot %
Dublin 18 75% 15 83% 8 44%
Monaghan 6 25% 6 100% 5 83%
Monaghan’s kickouts Won % Turned into an attack % Shot %
Dublin 16 64% 15 94% 12 75%
Monaghan 9 36% 6 67% 6 67%

This was Dublin’s main strength throughout the day. If we remove all short kickouts, and define the remainder as contestable, Dublin won the kickout battle 24-8 and outscored Monaghan 0-10 to 0-04 form the possessions emanating from these kickouts. There was a period in the first half where, after Dean Rock had missed his only free, Dublin got their hands on a Monaghan kickout three times in a row scoring three points. If nothing else Monaghan showed remarkable resilience to stay in the game given the problems they were having getting primary ball.

Shot Charts

Dublin’s shooting
Dublin shooting (V Monaghan 15 league)

Monaghan’s shooting
Monaghan shooting (V Dublin 15 league)

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play,

Players with >= 3 shots from play

Shots Scores Success % Weighting
C McManus (Monaghan) 6 5 83% +2.544
D Clerkin (Monaghan) 4 3 75% +1.258
K Hughes (Monaghan) 4 2 50% +0.412
K McManamon (Dublin) 3 2 67% +0.704
B Fenton (Dublin) 3 2 67% +0.540
D Connolly (Dublin) 3 0 0% -1.184
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