King of the Point Takers

Following on from the piece reviewing the deadball specialists it is now time for the point takers.


From play with average


The first thing to note is the groupings by team.
• Given their propensity to be on TV, and the fact that their attack has been so prolific of late, it is unsurprising that six Dublin forwards have had >=25 point attempts.
• Kerry players sure can kick a point – their three most prolific shooters over the past three years, Cooper, O’Donoghue & Declan O’Sullivan, are all in the top 4 in terms of accuracy.
• Donegal’s big three, Murphy, McFadden & McBrearty, all performed below average when the three years are combined.

As well as that there are two obvious outliers in B Brogan (volume & weighting) and J O’Donoghue (Success Rate). How they achieved their respective returns is dealt with separately here (Brogan) and here (O’Donoghue).

In the deadball piece the above chart was followed by one showing the Success Rate by weighting. This showed a clear separation between Cluxton & O’Connor and the other deadball experts – they were converting harder frees at a higher rate. This chart is reproduced below but you will notice a high correlation between it and the one above.


Points from play V1


This high correlation is due to the fact that the Success Rates – which are the main drivers of the weightings – don’t tend to differ from play as much as they do from deadballs. Therefore being prolific from one section will not necessarily increase your weighting. A bit convoluted but perhaps the following chart will illustrate the point


From play v2


The majority of the players are bang on the trendline. Apart from some obvious exceptions (Flynn, B Brogan) the weighting is driven by the accuracy. If you are bang on average in terms of Success Rate then you are more than likely going to have an average weighting. This is not the case for deadballs where you can convert a high portion of very simple frees to achieve a high Success Rate but an average weighting.


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