Galway v Tipperary 2014 Championship

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Galway 44 38 86% 21 55% +2.672
Tipperary 39 28 72% 16 57% +2.233
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

Excellent shooting from both teams however the overall numbers are tempered by (a) the volume of goal shots converted and (b) the volume of shots taken under pressure.

There were 12 goal shots in the game (7 for Galway, 5 for Tipperary including the penalty) with 9 resulting in a score. Goal shots generally end in a score c40% of the time. Converting a goal shot is therefore quite a low percentage shot (versus going for a point in the same position) so the weighting is quite high when they are converted. Converting 9 obviously has a huge effect.

Of the 52 shots from play I charted only 35% (18 from 52) being taken under pressure – take out the goal shots and that drops to a paltry 27% (11 out of 41). The lack of pressure is not the sole reason for the excellent returns but it surely helps!

Where attacks originated

Opposition k/out Own k/out Ball received in Own 3rd Ball received in Mid 3rd Ball received in Opposition 3rd Other (throw-in, rebound etc.)
Galway 9 12 15 2 1 5
Tipperary 7 14 10 4 2 2

Very similar returns for both teams. Both teams managed 21 attacking possessions from kickouts whilst Galway edged two more possessions from turnovers (18 to 16).

The difference in shots came mainly, as we will see below, from turnovers. Galway had 2 extra attacking possessions from turnovers but managed 8 extra shots from the turnovers gained.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Galway 30 18 60% +4.944
Tipperary 22 11 50% +1.401
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

The Galway returns are excellent. They managed 7 shots at goal scoring 4-01 and converted 57% (13 from 23) of their point attempts. As noted earlier the concern going forward is can they replicate this? Only four of those 23 point shots were taken under pressure

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Walsh (Galway) 5 3 60% -0.574
P Conroy (Galway) 2 0 0% -0.857
M Martin (Galway) 1 0 0% -0.840
C Sweeney (Tipperary) 5 5 100% +1.672
B Grogan (Tipperary) 1 0 0% -0.840
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

Very good from Sweeney – not much more could have been asked.

The first shot in the game Martin skewered a simple free from in front of goal and that seemed to set the tone for Galway’s performance. Combined they were 38% (3 from 8) with a weighting of -2.271. Shane Walsh’s sublime piece of skill to kill Conroy’s 45 with his instep hid the fact that the 45 itself was atrocious – dropping short and wide at the corner of the small square.

Turnovers

Team “coughing up” possession Shots from Turnovers %
Galway 22 11 50%
Tipperary 22 19 86%

 

Misplaced Pass Tackled Shots not going dead Other
Galway 11 6 4 1
Tipperary 12 5 0 5

The turnover numbers are quite low – 44 in this game versus 58 in the Cork-Sligo game – however the striking number is that 86% from Galway. Of the 22 turnovers they created/received they managed to convert 19 to shots. Thier foot passing into the space for the forwards to latch on to was excellent.

All four of their goals came from Tipperary turnovers

Kickouts

Galway’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Galway 20 74% 12 60% 8 40%
Tipperary 7 26% 7 100% 6 86%
Tipperary’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Galway 12 43% 9 75% 7 58%
Tipperary 16 57% 14 88% 10 63%

Galway gained possession of the kickout a full nine times more than Tipperary yet managed one less shot.

On their own kickouts Galway went short seven times but only managed a shot twice. Of the remaining twenty kickouts they won a respectable 13. The problem is that when Tipperary won these kickouts they scored 2-02. The fear, when meeting Kerry who were very good on Cork’s kickouts for the mid 50 minutes, is that the grouping of Buckley, Sheehan, Walsh & O’Mahoney will win more than 35% of Galway’s contestable kickouts. If they do will they convert at the same rate that Tipperary did?

On the flip side Conroy, Flynn & O’Curraoin were very good on Tipperary’s kickouts winning 55% (12 from 22) of their kickouts that travelled past the 45.

Shot Charts
Galway’s shot chart is slightly strange in that they had more shots from the left than the right – Galway’s propensity to shoot from the left was evident in the Mayo game as well.

Galway’s shooting
Galway shooting (V Tipperary)

Tipperary’s shooting
Tipperary shooting (V Galway)
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
D Cummins (Galway) 6 2 33% -0.481
M Martin (Galway) 5 3 60% +0.998
C O’Riordan (Tipperary) 5 3 60% +0.893
P Conroy (Galway) 4 3 75% +1.008
P Acheson (Tipperary) 4 2 50% +0.026
S Armstrong (Galway) 3 2 67% +0.516
M Lundy (Galway) 3 2 67% +0.477
S Walsh (Galway) 2 2 100% +1.224
P Varley (Galway) 2 1 50% +0.234
M Quinlivan (Tipperary) 2 1 50% +0.224
G Hannigan (Tipperary) 2 1 50% -0.068
C Sweeney (Tipperary) 2 0 0% -0.785
P Austin (Tipperary) 2 0 0% -0.997
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