Dublin V Wexford 2014 Championship

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 56 45 80% 27 60% +3.215
Wexford 33 27 82% 13 48% +0.330
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

The Dublin machine rolls on. Their consistent brilliance this year can mask just how phenomenal the numbers are. In near on 100 games no team had breached 50 attacking possessions – Dublin’s last four games this year (Cork & Derry in the league SF & final, Laois and Wexford) have produced 54, 57, 51 & 56. In four games they have averaged 54.5 attacking possessions – that is a full 52% more than the 2013 Championship average. Simply breath taking.

Allied to the volume of possessions their Shot Rate has been above average for those four games – 83%, 82%, 82% and 80% here – which means that they have had 62% more shots over that 4 game span than the 2013 average. 62%!

On top of all that Dublin’s shooting topped 60% for the first time. They were simply irresistible in this game

Their defence has fluctuated more than the offence; in the aforementioned games Dublin have allowed a shot rate of 80%, 69%, 75% & 82%. Against Kildare Meath’s shot rate was running at 90% 5 minutes into the second half – they may well have to produce something similar for longer if Dublin maintain their attacking output.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 37 19 51% +1.225
Wexford 23 9 39% -1.059
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

Three of Dublin’s first six shots from play were attempts at goal (all Mannion). This is par for the course with Dublin however their ardour cooled thereafter with only two more attempts at goal (both converted). This left a goal to point attempt ratio of 1:6 – which is much lower than their usual 1:3.

An arbitrary point granted but until Costello was introduced all was not rosey in Dublin’s attacking garden. They had a Success Rate of 32% (6 from 19) with a weighting of -2.903.

Thereafter Dublin maintained a Success Rate of 72% (13 from 18) with a weighting of +4.236 including a closing sequence of 1-08 from their last ten chances.

Now this is not all as a result of the introduction of Costello but indicative of how their substitutes bench has helped them close out the last two games. In those games the subs are a combined 19 from 24 shots (Success Rate of 79%) with a weighting of +6.693. Ridiculous output – even against tiring teams.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
D Rock (Dublin) 4 4 100% +0.639
C Costello (Dublin) 2 2 100% +0.655
S Cluxton (Dublin) 1 1 100% +0.500
D Connolly (Dublin) 1 1 100% +0.087
B Brosnan (Wexford) 3 3 100% +1.157
C Lyng (Wexford) 1 1 100% +0.232
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

Whilst the deadball striking may not have been as spectacular as some of the attempts we have seen this year (Morgan, Beggan et al) it was deadly effective. Six different players combined for 100% accuracy (12 from 12) with a weighting of +3.269. You cannot ask for more.

From their two games in the Championship to date Dublin are a combined 88% (14 from 16 – the only two misses were two Cluxton 45s) with a weighting of +2.434. What might be more impressive is the ease with which they appear to be able to change free takers. Rock came on for a cameo against Laois and hit 3 from 3. He was faultless here but Costello then came off the bench and slotted his two frees very easily.

Kickouts

Dublin’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Dublin 16 89% 13 81% 11 69%
Wexford 2 11% 0 0% 0 0%
Wexford’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Dublin 19 50% 18 95% 15 79%
Wexford 19 50% 12 63% 9 47%

(note that we completely missed one Dublin kickout – when the cameras panned back Wexford had the ball but it is unknown if this was from the kickout or a turnover once Dublin had controlled the kickout)

A tale of two kickouts strategies – Dublin absolutely dominated their own. Truly dominated.

Wexford on the other hand broke even on theirs but the manner of the kickout meant that whatever ones they lost were effectively turned into attacking possessions by Dublin. What is perhaps surprising is that Wexford continued to kick contestable balls – only four of their 38 kickouts went short.

Turnovers

Team “coughing up” possession Shots from Turnovers %
Dublin 28 15 53%
Wexford 29 19 65%

 

Misplaced Pass Tackled Shots not going dead Other
Dublin 9 9 6 4
Wexford 14 6 5 4

Surprising that the turnovers were much the same but again we see that Dublin are very good at converting those turnovers to shots. Wexford were ok in this regard and the fact that Dublin coughed up 9 turnovers in the tackle – and “allowed” Wexford get a shot rate of 53% – will give Meath (and Galvin !) something to work on.

Shot Charts

Dublin’s shooting
Dublin shooting (V Wexford)

Wexford’s shooting
Wexford shooting (V Dublin)
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
P Mannion (Dublin) 7 3 43% -0.423
C Costello (Dublin) 5 4 80% +1.528
P Flynn (Dublin) 5 3 60% +0.877
B Brosnan (Wexford) 5 3 60% 0.859
PJ Banville (Wexford) 4 3 75% +1.075
E O’Gara (Dublin) 3 2 67% +0.717
A Brogan (Dublin) 3 1 33% -0.144
D Connolly (Dublin) 3 1 33% -0.551
P McMahon (Dublin) 3 1 33% -0.551
C Lyng (Wexford) 3 0 0% -1.144
T Brady (Dublin) 2 2 100% +0.875
K O’Grady (Wexford) 2 1 50% +0.233
D Waters (Wexford) 2 1 50% +0.094
J Holmes (Wexford) 2 1 50% -0.134
MD MacAuley (Dublin) 2 1 50% -0.207
A Flynn (Wexford) 2 0 0% -0.719
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One Response to “Dublin V Wexford 2014 Championship”

  1. Cork v Mayo 2014 Championship | dontfoul Says:

    […] shots from play is up there with Dublin’s returns (34 v Laois, 37 v Wexford & a ridiculous 41 v Meath) whilst a Success Rate of 49% is […]

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