Laois V Fermanagh 2014 Championship

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Laois 49 37 76% 20 54% +2.8431
Fermanagh 38 29 76% 17 59% +2.163
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%  

A generally open game with Fermanagh’s accuracy, rather than any squandering on Laois’s part, leading to a close game.

The 49 possessions here indicate, alongside the 44 gained against Dublin, that this Laois team has a lot of attacking intent and will have enough ball to give any team a game.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Laois 30 15 50% +2.009
Fermanagh 24 12 50% +0.298
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%  

Two things jump out. The first being the discrepancy in weightings considering that both teams converted 50%. Fermanagh’s weighting is hugely affected by two efforts for fisted points from Owens & Quigley from in front of the posts. There are not enough of these attempts in the database to give them a proper weighting so they are treated as normal attempts at a point from in front of goals – teams (& players) are pretty negatively affected when they miss these attempts.

The second is how good Laois’s returns were. Much of the commentary in the first half was around how Laois were squandering their supremacy. And they did – they only converted 2 of their first 10 shots. This impression of looseness was maintained throughout the game however after that initial period Laois were superb converting 65% (13 out of 20) of their shots including a remarkable closing sequence of 7 from 8.

There were some remarkable individual displays from Quigley (5 from 9 with a weighting of +1.115) and Kingston (5 from 8 with a weighting of +1.605). Indeed for one stretch of play, either side of half time, Quigley accounted for 10 of Fermanagh’s 12 shots.

Munnelly could not maintain his shooting accuracy from the Dublin game. It was noticeable however that after the Fermanagh goal in the first half it was Munnelly that took the next two shots and set up the third for Meredith’s point right before the half time whistle.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
D Strong (Laois) 4 2 50% -0.322
R Munnelly (Laois) 2 2 100% +0.906
D Kingston (Laois) 1 1 100% +0.160
S Quigley (Fermanagh) 5 5 100% +1.865
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%  

Excellent deadball striking all told with the only two misses coming from two long range Darren Strong frees.

Quigley’s returns were very good with only one of the four frees being central.

Kickouts

Laois’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Laois 19 76% 15 79% 11 58%
Fermanagh 6 24% 6 100% 6 100%
 
Fermanagh’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Laois 10 32% 9 90% 7 70%
Fermanagh 21 68% 14 67% 10 48%

Laois went short (were allowed go short by Fermanagh) on 54% of their kickouts which resulted in 9 shots and a return of 0-03. Fermanagh did not gain a possession from any of these kickouts.

When Laois went past the 45 with their kickout it became a contest. Fermanagh won 5 of the 11 and got a shot from all 5. Laois only managed to get two shots from the six that they won.

Fermanagh were better at defending the short kickout than Antrim were against Donegal (or conversely Laois were poor at turning the short kickout into a shot) but in both games they (Fermanagh & Antrim) were better served by forcing the opposition to kick long

Turnovers

Team “coughing up” possession # turnovers Shots from Turnovers %
Laois 27 11 41%
Fermanagh 28 18 64%

 

  Misplaced Pass Tackled Shots not going dead Mishandled possession Fouled ball
Laois 8 9 5 3 2
Fermanagh 16 5 3 2 2

Laois will be concerned by how often they got turned over in the tackle. The good news was that none of those particular turnovers occurred in their own third of the pitch. The bad news is that the 9 turnovers were spread over 7 different players so it appears to be a team wide “fault” in that they get dispossessed easier than most county teams (they also lost possession against Dublin 5 times through a tackle)

Shot Charts

Laois’s shooting
Laois shooting (V Fermanagh)

Fermanagh’s shooting
Fermanagh shooting (V Laois)
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Quigley (Fermanagh) 9 5 56% +1.115
D Kingston (Laois) 8 5 63% +1.605
R Munnelly (Laois) 6 2 33% -0.343
C Begley (Laois) 3 1 33% -0.135
D Strong (Laois) 3 1 33% -0.357
T McElroy (Fermanagh) 3 0 0% -1.283
C Meredith (Laois) 2 2 100% +1.003
E Maguire (Fermanagh) 2 2 100% +0.793
R Jones (Fermanagh) 2 1 50% +0.281
B Sheehan (Laois) 2 1 50% +0.234
P McCusker (Fermanagh) 2 1 50% +0.149
D Conway (Laois) 2 1 50% -0.125
B Owens (Fermanagh) 2 1 50% -0.417
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