Monaghan V Tyrone 2014 Championship

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Monaghan 34 28 82% 13 46% -1.407
Tyrone 39 29 74% 14 48% -0.023
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

Goals win games. Tyrone had more possessions, one more shot and a better Success Rate but Monaghan gained that all important goal.

Monaghan’s overall shooting was poor but it was a real Jekyll & Hyde performance. They were abject from play but stellar from placed balls – the penalty was the only deadball miss all day. Nowhere was this better exemplified than in Conor McManus’s performance; 0/5 from shots from play & 6/6 from frees!

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Monaghan 19 5 26% -3.296
Tyrone 21 9 43% -0.325
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

What a dreadful set of numbers from Monaghan. Their shooting from play was atrocious. There was nothing extraordinary in the shots they were attempting, nor the conditions, to explain this poor return other than poor execution.

8 of the 12 attempts for points that they missed had pressure applied to the shots – three of the fours that did not have pressure applied were from central areas however (from Sector5) – so we have poor shot selection (under pressure out wide) or poor execution (centrally with no pressure).

Mattie Donnelly & Sean Cavanagh were good for Tyrone but no one else stood up. Stephen O’Neill did not have a shot all day; Ronan O’Neill only had the one before being substituted. McCurry did have the majority of shots for Tyrone but his radar was not fully focussed – returning a slightly below average 40% on 5 shots.

Tyrone had more shots from play, and were more accurate – just not accurate enough to overcome Monaghan’s deadball capabilities.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
C McManus (Monaghan) 6 6 100% +1.153
R Beggan (Monaghan) 2 2 100% +1.143
K Hughes (Monaghan) 1 0 0% -0.407
N Morgan (Tyrone) 4 2 50% +0.035
D McCurry (Tyrone) 2 2 100% +0.613
C McAliskey (Tyrone) 1 1 100% +0.227
S Cavanagh (Tyrone) 1 0 0% -0.572
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

McManus may have had a poor day from play but he was excellent from frees converting all six. Rory Beggan complemented McManus’s nearer to goal efforts with two long range conversions. If we had consistent measurements I would imagine the distance from his converted free in Sector 1 would be as long a successful free as we will see this year.

Despite the fact that McManus converted six, and Beggan ‘only’ two, their weighting is quite similar. That gives an indication that McManus’s frees were of the easier variety. (Cavanagh got 6 from 6 against Meath last year and had a weighting of +2.652 as a reference)

Tyrone’s deadball returns were essentially average. I can understand why Morgan took the last free kick (he was 2 from 3 at that point and easily had the distance) however Cavanagh had taken a similar kick to draw the first game against Down. Whilst this one was closer to the sideline than the Down attempt he could have stolen a few yards by walking in with the free.

As I said it is easy to see why Morgan took that free kick but I would have liked to have seen Cavanagh be given the ball in that situation.

Kickouts

Monaghan’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Monaghan 15 68% 8 53% 8 53%
Tyrone 7 32% 7 100% 7 100%
Tyrone’s kickouts Won % Turned into a possession % Shot %
Monaghan 7 33% 5 71% 3 43%
Tyrone 14 67% 11 79% 8 57%

Overall the kickouts won stat shows an even game – Monaghan edging it 22-21. Tyrone were better at creating shots from the kickouts won however converting 71% of their wins to shots as opposed to 50% for Monaghan. Essentially an extra four shots.

These extra four shots came from Monaghan’s kickouts – they won the same amount of the opposition’s kickouts (33% v 32%) as Monaghan did but they converted every one they won into a shot.

Tyrone had quite a strange kickout day overall. In the first half they had Conor Clarke beside the goal acting as ball boy for Morgan. This enabled them to get the kickout away quickly; 8 of their 13 first half kickouts went short. From these 8 kickouts they got a shot five times whilst almost as importantly denied Monaghan possession on all eight.

Of their other five Tyrone got one shot with Monaghan getting three. You would say that the tactic was working – get the ball out quick or else Monaghan were winning possessions and getting shots off.

But then they completely changed this in the second half. Clarke was sitting up in the substitutes bench and of the seven Tyrone kicks where we were shown where the ball landed only one went short. Of the other six Monaghan won four with both teams getting a shot apiece from the possessions won.

You had a predetermined strategy that was working and then appear to abandon it in the second half – why?

Turnovers

Team “coughing up” possession Volume Shots from Turnovers %
Monaghan 29 21 72%
Tyrone 27 16 59%

 

Team “coughing up” possession Misplaced Pass Tackled Shots not going dead Mishandled possession Other
Monaghan 14 7 5 2 1
Tyrone 15 3 5 2 2

There was not much between the teams in terms of how the ball was given away and what the opposition did with it.

What is of interest is where the teams gave the ball away. Of the 27 turnovers Tyrone coughed up they only gave Monaghan the ball 5 times outside the 45 – they were very careful with it.

Monaghan on the other hand “gave” Tyrone the ball 12 times outside of Tyrone’s 45. Tyrone only managed to convert these excellent opportunities into a shot six times scoring 0-02. Monaghan will struggle to stay with a more clinical team (Dublin converted 9 such opportunities to x shots and y scores) if their shooting continues to be anywhere near as wayward.

Shot Charts
Well it appears that Dublin & Mayo are on to something! After two games in which both teams only took one shot each from the left hand side we have a game where there were a combined 11 shots from the left – and all 11 were missed.

Monaghan’s shooting
Monaghan shooting (V Tyrone)
Tyrone’s shooting

Tyrone shooting (V Monaghan)
x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, black = 1st half from play, white = 2nd half from play

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
D McCurry (Tyrone) 5 2 40% -0.126
C McManus (Monaghan) 5 0 0% -2.183
Mattie Donnelly (Tyrone) 4 3 75% +1.075
K Hughes (Monaghan) 4 2 50% +0.318
S Cavanagh (Tyrone) 3 2 67% +0.717
F Kelly (Monaghan) 3 2 67% +0.507
C McGuinness (Monaghan) 3 0 0% -1.265
C McGinley (Tyrone) 2 1 50% +0.142
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