Dublin V Cork 2014 League

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 54 45 83% 22 49% -1.280
Cork 35 28 80% 14 50% 0.719
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

Please note that Cork’s second goal is not considered in the below returns. Although it emanated from a Cork shot that shot is deemed to have dropped short rather than the end result being a goal.

44 is the highest number of shots recorded in a game to date. It generally won’t matter what your Shot & Success Rates are if you can totally smother the opposition in shots.

As it happens Dublin’s shooting was quite poor converting only 49% of their shots. Cork’s returns were actually average – their shooting was, however slightly, better than Dublin’s – but they just could not deal with the avalanche of attacks.

1st half

Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 22 17 77% 7 41% -1.273
Cork 23 20 87% 10 50% 0.681

2nd half

Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 32 28 88% 15 54% -0.007
Cork 12 8 67% 4 50% 0.038

This game was the atypical game of two halves. It was not that Cork were more dominant than Dublin in that first half – they had 23 possessions to Dublin’s 22 – but rather they were more clinical in their shooting.

In the second half however Dublin took over with 32 possessions & 28 shots (a Shot Rate of 87.5%). There are teams that would struggle to achieve those numbers in 70 minutes let alone 35.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Dublin 37 17 46% -0.757
Cork 26 13 50% +1.107
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

Again we can see that Cork’s radar was more accurate than Dublin’s – Dublin just (!) had an extra eleven shots.

Some of Dublin’s starters had quite an off day with A Brogan, McManamon, Connolly & Andrews combining for a very poor stat line of 5 scores from 20 shots (20% Success Rate) with a weighting of -3.803. It was the accuracy of O’Gara, B Brogan & McAauley that ensured the returns were just below average.

A quick mention for Brian Hurley as well. Against Kerry he hit 7 scores from 11 shots and was on course to better that here with a first half return of 5 points from 7 shots. I’m not sure what’s more remarkable – the volume of shots or the combined Success Rate of 67% (average = 45%) during that span. Unfortunately for Cork he was starved of the ball in the second half and didn’t manage to get another shot off.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
B Brogan (Dublin) 3 3 100% +0.618
D Connolly (Dublin) 3 2 67% +0.056
S Cluxton (Dublin) 2 0 0% -1.197
D Goulding (Cork) 2 1 50% -0.387
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

Much like the Kerry-Cork game last week the figure that jumps off the page is Dublin only affording Cork two shots at goal, or one for every 17.5 possessions, from free kicks.

Dublin had 7 frees, or 1 free in scoring range for every 7.7 possessions, converting four. Cluxton missed two but one of them was a monster attempt from outside the 45

Kickouts
Dublin won 64% (37 out of 58) of all kickouts gaining 12 extra shots from the possessions won but this really was a case of contrasting fortunes.

Dublin had a total of 24 kickouts in the game and won possession on 21 of these (88%). This return is inflated however by the fact that, from afar, Cork appeared to be content to ‘let’ Dublin have the short kickout. This worked initially in that Dublin did not manage to manufacture a shot from the first 5 kickouts that went short but of the next eight short kickouts Dublin got a shot off 6 times. The stat that best shows that Cork’s tactic didn’t work was that from Dublin’s 24 kickouts Dublin managed a shot 12 times; Cork managed two.

Cork more or less broke even on their own kickouts winning 18 to Dublin’s 16. This wasn’t enough however considering that the tactic on Dublin’s kickouts wasn’t working.

In the 30 minutes of Dublin dominance in the second half Cork had 20 kickouts. They gained primary possession on 11 of these so the kickouts did not collapse per se in that period. They got their hands on the ball as often as they did in the first half. They were just not able to get their hands on Dublin kickouts nor turnover the ball when Dublin were attacking (28 shots from 31 possessions)

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
B Hurley (Cork) 7 5 71% +1.832
A Brogan (Dublin) 6 1 17% -1.476
P Andrews (Dublin) 5 2 40% +0.023
K McManamon (Dublin) 5 1 20% -1.634
C O’Neill (Cork) 4 2 50% -0.040
D Connolly (Dublin) 4 1 25% -0.716
E O’Gara (Dublin) 3 3 100% +1.158
B Brogan (Dublin) 3 2 67% +0.434
D O’Connor (Cork) 3 1 33% -0.078
M Collins (Cork) 3 1 33% -0.238
P Flynn (Dublin) 2 2 100% +1.094
MD MacAuley (Dublin) 2 2 100% +0.884
D Goulding (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.142
F Goold (Cork) 2 1 50% -0.207
P Kerrigan (Cork) 2 0 0% -0.719
P McMahon (Dublin) 2 0 0% -1.116
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