Kildare V Mayo 2014 League

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kildare 40 34 85% 21 62% +5.2318
Mayo 41 31 76% 20 65% +2.3051
Champ (’12 & ’13 avg) 35.8 27.6 77.2% 14.1 51.0%

The quality of shooting on display at St. Conleth’s was top drawer. That Kildare return is up there with the best that I have compiled whilst the combined totals would be a match for any game.

In his post match interview Jason Ryan commented that both teams would be reviewing their defensive displays. Mayo especially will not like conceding a shot rate of 85% though that is somewhat inflated by Tomas O’Connor’s interventions. All his scores came from shots that dropped short; Kildare never lost possession of the ball but had their shot counts doubled (their initial shots that dropped short plus O’Connor’s subsequent interventions).

Kildare allowed 31 shots but will probably be more concerned by the number of goal chances they coughed up – five in total with a few more blasted points that could easily have worked the goalkeeper.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kildare 32 19 59% +4.3256
Mayo 20 10 50% -0.3423
Champ avgs (’12 & ’13) 20.3 9.2 45.4%

Again Kildare were excellent. Bearing in mind that the average return for shots from play is 45% to hit close on 60% is an excellent day’s work. There is always the retort that “sure its only the league” and that when the play intensifies Kildare will not be able to maintain this standard. Given that the average is 45% no team could maintain this standard however the comment usually relates to the pressure that the player is under whilst shooting. The below table shows that Kildare’s total was padded by a majority of shots coming with no Mayo pressure applied however when there was pressure they actually shot better. Kildare were presented with the opportunities and executed – no more can be asked.

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
No pressure on Kildare shots 18 10 56% +1.924
Pressure on Kildare shots 14 9 64% +2.401

Mayo’s defense will again be asking themselves how Kildare had 18 shots with no pressure applied though they will take heart from the lack of frees conceded.

Whilst Mayo’s returns were dwarfed by Kildare’s they didn’t perform too badly – they were just about average. The fact that their Success Rate is above average but the weighting negative shows that they converted a lot of chances in close to goal but didn’t hit their expected share of more difficult ones. Of their ten scores from play only two were from outside the 20m line – both coming from Sector 5. Indeed Mayo only attempted one shot from play from the wings.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
D Mulhall (Kildare) 2 2 100% +0.906
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 7 6 86% +0.996
R Hennelly (Mayo) 3 3 100% +1.565
A Gallagher (Mayo) 1 1 100% +0.087
team avgs (’12 & ’13 Champ) 7.3 4.9 66.7%

Excellent displays all round. Hennelly’s three 45s in the first half all looked very comfortable – he had plenty of distance on all three – to such an extent that I was surprised Mayo didn’t put the ball down on the ground when fouled around the 45 and let him take a shot. A keeper’s not just for 45s – ask Cluxton!

Kildare have struggled in the free taking stakes for a number of years now with John Doyle, Mikey Conway, Alan Smith, Seanie Johnston & Eoghan O’Flaherty all having tried over the past few years.

Mulhall had a good day from the ground however two frees don’t a free taker make and it will be interesting to see how he progresses and whether Kildare can finally get something more than a serviceable free taker.

Kickouts

As was discussed in the kickout article Mayo were big proponents of the short kickout last year kicking 38% of all kickouts in the Championship short. In this game they only kicked 7% of their kickouts short. I didn’t see Kildare do anything especially novel to make Mayo kick longer so this seems to have have been a pre ordained strategy – keeping the powder dry for later in the year perhaps

Players with >= 2 shots from play
Kildare’s full forward line scored a combined 1-9 from play but there were contrasting shooting performances therein. Brophy was excellent giving Colm Boyle all sorts of issues with his eight shots coming from six separate sectors (he scored from five). Mulhall on the other hand struggled but none of his shots came from in front of goal (Sectors 5 & 8). I’m sure the Kildare backroom team will be stressing shot selection decisions during the week.

Finally Tomás O’Connor had what can only be described as a Tomas O’Connor outing. Scoring 1-2 from 4 shots is an excellent return however as mentioned before his three scores came from Kildare errors (shots dropping short). Whilst he may be one of the best in the game at picking up scraps his only other shooting contribution was a blocked shot.

Gallagher is an exciting talent from Mayo and whilst his returns were not great he showed very well and was not afraid to pull the trigger. In many ways his willingness to shoot showed up the paucity of shooters else where in the forwards.

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
P Brophy (Kildare) 8 6 75% +1.873
D Mulhall (Kildare) 6 1 17% -1.213
C McNally (Kildare) 5 3 60% +1.014
E O’Flaherty (Kildare) 5 3 60% +0.902
A Gallagher (Mayo) 5 2 40% -0.766
T O’Connor (Kildare) 4 3 75% +0.751
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 2 2 100% +0.793
A O’Shea (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.116
D Hyland (Kildare) 2 1 50% -0.207
C Carolan (Mayo) 2 0 0% -0.906
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One Response to “Kildare V Mayo 2014 League”

  1. Mayo3G Says:

    Not all of O’Connor’s scores came from shots dropped short, Mulhall is capable of making that kind of pass and Kildare have worked hard on the long ball since Ryan took over. Credit where credit is due.
    For a team that have only been training since early January, Mayo didn’t do too badly at all. Having said that it was a somewhat baffling selection by Horan yesterday – Kevin McLoughlin on the edge of the square with Andy Moran dropping very deep into centrefield to play quarterback.
    We’re guessing that Horan wanted to profit from the midfielders breaking forward and while it did create chances for O’Shea and Gallagher you have to wonder have Mayo become much too predictable. Horan loves this running game and while it creates easy scores and easy frees it doesn’t win you crunch games, especially in Croke Park. Dublin are masters at mixing up the kicking and running game. Kildare taught Mayo a lesson in how to utilise the target man.
    Things improved in the second half. McLoughlin dropped into midfield to dictate the tempo and Horan moved onto the forty but the lack of a target man is very puzzling. Doherty and Freeman have huge potential. Is the workrate lacking, Horan demands that from his players?
    Very, very experimental lineup and little training done but Mayo are still a very good side, posting a big score but a settled forward line is surely a must at this stage?

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