Cork V Dublin 2013

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Cork 34 26 76% 14 54% +1.7699
Dublin 44 35 80% 17 49% +0.1543
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

Cork’s metrics were average except for the weighting … such a positive weighting on average Shot Rate & Success Rates indicate the difficulty of some of the shots they converted (think of O’Rourke’s monster punt from outside the 45).

For the second game in a row Dublin’s weight of possession (44 here, 47 against Meath) and shots (35 here, 39 against Meath) meant that they could overcome below average Success Rates to prevail. Given that Cluxton had such a super day from deadballs it is evident that Dublin’s shooting from play must have been poor to return an average weighting overall. More on that below.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Cork 19 9 47% +0.8208
Dublin 25 10 40% -1.203
2012 team avgs 20.14 9.36 46.5%

A lot of Dublin’s negative return here can be placed on their inability to convert goal chances. They had seven shots for goal with McCaffrey’s effort, as well as Flynn’s blazed shot over the bar in the first half, the only returns. In the last two games they have had a combined 13 shots for goal converting 23% (3/13).

Dublin’s shooting for points was just about average – converting 44% of their shots (8 from 18). For this and the Meath game combined the Success Rate for point taking is running at 41% (15 from 37). In those two games Brogan’s Success Rate is 0% (0/5) and Connolly’s 20% (1/5). On the other end of the scale Mannion is 75% (3/4) whilst Dean Rock in his limited time has also hit 75% (3/4).

Much has been made of Dublin’s missed goal chances but Cork themselves had six shots for goal only managing to come away with two points as Hurley & Goulding blasted over in the second half.

Cork’s shooting in the first half, whilst sparse, was deadly accurate. They only attempted five shots from play in the first 30 minutes converting all five. Cork then had 5 attempts at scoring in two separate attacks just before half time but didn’t manage to convert any. But for two excellent blocks from the Dublin backs, with some very poor shooting at the most inopportune time for good measure, Cork may have been able to absorb McCaffrey’s early goal. Ifs, buts and maybes but Cork did expose the Dublin back line and give Kerry something to work with.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Cluxton (Dublin) 8 6 75% +1.928
B Brogan (Dublin) 1 1 100% +0.155
P Mannion (Dublin) 1 0 0% -0.726
D Goulding (Cork) 3 3 100% +1.027
D Cahalane (Cork) 3 1 33% -0.520
M Collins (Cork) 1 1 100% +0.442
2012 team avgs 6.88 4.6 66.9%

Cork did reasonably well in ensuring they only gave away two frees in close to goal however discipline further out the field, and Dublin’s bombardment of the goal ensured Cluxton had the chance for a field day. Which he duly did.

Cluxton’s performance was immense. None of his attempts were within 40m and though the two he missed ensures his weighting is below Cavanagh’s performance against Meath it was still the bedrock on which Dublin’s win was achieved.

Obviously Cork will know who their best striker of a ball is but it was still strange to see Cahalane have three long range attempts in the first half given the quality of free taker at Cork’s disposal. The decision didn’t seem any less strange after Goulding popped over a 45 in the second half.

Shot Charts
Cork’s shooting

Cork shooting

Dublin’s shooting

Dublin shooting

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, white = play

Kickouts
Cork-Dublin kouts

Given that Cork had control of 62% of all kickouts it is telling that Dublin managed to create 10 more shots from all the kickouts.

Usually when you see a 13:5 ratio of wins to the kickout team it is because they have gone short on the majority of kickouts thus ensuring possession. Not Dublin. They only went short on two kickouts instead having Cluxton pop expertly directed balls to players running into space. What was particularly good here was that the converted the vast majority (85%) into attacking possession.

We expect this level of accuracy and execution from Dublin on their own kickouts but what did they do to Cork’s kickouts? Given the options Cork had in the diamond (Walsh, O’Connor, O’Neill, Canty) it is reasonable to expect that they should be able to pinpoint match ups in their favour. Instead Dublin got 5 more shots from Cork’s kickouts than Cork did. This had been flagged – in the Munster final Kerry got 4 more shots on Cork’s kickouts.

The first port of call for most observers is to blame the goalkeeper’s accuracy but that’s not applicable here as the goalkeeper changed between the Kerry (O’Halloran) and the Dublin game (Quirke). Instead I think Cork began to believe in the core strength of that middle third and when presented with an opposition that not only identified it, but set about dismantling it, were unable to respond.

Dublin attempted to break the ball at every opportunity thus negating the physical power of the Cork middle third. There was not one Dublin high fetch from Cork kickouts. Once the ball was on the ground they were ready and able to pounce – the fact that this was a team wide tactic is evidenced by the fact that every time Dublin got the ball back into the Cork 45 they got a shot off. Everybody was ready to spring into action from the predicated breaking ball.

Players with >= 2 shots from from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
B Hurley (Cork) 5 3 60% +0.469
D Connolly (Dublin) 5 0 0% -2.11
C Kilkenny (Dublin) 4 2 50% -0.251
D Goulding (Cork) 3 2 67% +0.712
C Sheehan (Cork) 3 1 33% -0.177
B Brogan (Dublin) 3 0 0% -1.147
P Flynn (Dublin) 2 2 100% +1.166
D Rock (Dublin) 2 2 100% +1.149
M Collins (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.218
J McCaffrey (Dublin) 2 1 50% +0.217
MD MacCauley (Dublin) 2 1 50% -0.007
P Kerrigan (Cork) 2 0 0% -0.815
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One Response to “Cork V Dublin 2013”

  1. Siméia Frainc Ó Broin Says:

    excellent information here, well done

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