Monaghan V Tyrone 2013

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here


Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Monaghan 25 20 80% 12 60% -1.561
Tyrone 40 32 80% 14 44% +1.281
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

To sum it up – Monaghan’s use of possession and shooting was every bit as good, if not better, than Tyrone’s. They just didn’t have enough of the ball. They had possession of the ball inside Tyrone’s 45 a full ten times less than the average.

Whilst Tyrone’s shooting was below average it was the volume of shots that ensured they kept Monaghan at arms length. Although both teams finished with 14 men Monaghan had a numerical advantage for the first 12 minutes of the second half. During that time Tyrone had four more possessions (9-5) and two more shots (7-5). Monaghan just didn’t drive home their advantage.

Not sure where to comment on Cavanagh’s rugby tackle however his discipline whilst on the yellow was immense. Twice thereafter he stopped Monaghan running attacks by getting an arm in from behind; against Clerkin (49:50) & Wylie (56:18). Juxtapose this with the widely held view that Darren Hughes’ yellow card negated his ability to mark Cavanagh.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Monaghan 14 6 43% +0.1082
Tyrone 25 10 40% -0.7239
2012 team avgs 20.14 9.36 46.5%

For Tyrone there were wonderful contributions from that man Cavanagh (3 from 5; weighting +0.884) and two beautiful points from Joe McMahon (2 from 2; weighting +1.202). McMahon has played as a sweeper against Meath & Kildare which meant he didn’t attempt a shot from play in either game. With Monaghan not posing as great a threat (the numbers in the first table bear this out) he was able to come up the pitch and reminded us just what a threat he is when he pushes forward.

After his exploits against Donegal Kieran Hughes was well marshalled with Tyrone only allowing him one shot – which he duely converted. McManus hit two peaches from the right hand side towards the end of the first half but also missed all three from the left. Clerkin (1 from 4) and Clarke’s (1 from 5) wayward shooting cancelled each other out.

Looking ahead Tyrone have to be concerned about their ability to keep up with a free scoring Mayo. In the last three games their full forward line has converted a combined 14% (2 from 14; weighting of -3.905). They are only taking, on average, just over 1.5 shots each per game – and taking very poor ones at that.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Cavanagh (Tyrone) 4 2 50% -0.896
D McCurry (Tyrone) 3 2 67% +0.059
C McManus (Monaghan) 4 4 100% +0.817
P Finlay (Monaghan) 3 2 67% +0.356
2012 team avgs 6.88 4.6 66.9%

Excellent again from McManus. In the three games we have for Monaghan this year his aggregate is 91% (10/11) with a combined weighting of +1.909. You really can’t ask for much more from your free taker.

After hyping up Tyrone’s deadball feats (see here) against Meath & Kildare they then of course throw in a comparative stinker! There were mitigants however; McCurry’s missed free was from the sideline and whilst the chances of success were low it would be hard to argue against an in form free taker having a go. Cavanagh’s two misses were from c35m-40m out whilst the second was in sector4 (the “wrong” side for a right footed free taker) after McCurry was substituted. Still the numbers don’t lie – his day was well below average.

Shot Charts

Monaghan’s shooting

Monaghan shooting

Tyrone’s shooting


x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, white = play


A contrast in kickout styles. Monaghan went past the 45m line on 82% (23 of 28) of their kickouts  but only had a +1 differential on shots – they got six shots from those 23 kickouts whilst Tyrone got five. Monaghan’s remaining two shots came from short kickout possessions.

Tyrone by contrast went short on 63% 12 of 19) of their kickouts. They botched one of those giving Gollogly a great goal chance that he blazed over but of the other 11 they got the ball into Monaghan’s 45 nine times and managed to get six shots off.

Players with >= 2 shots from from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Cavanagh (Tyrone) 5 3 60% +0.884
C McManus (Monaghan) 5 2 40% -0.036
C Clarke (Tyrone) 5 1 20% -1.516
D Clerkin (Monaghan) 4 1 25% -0.448
Mattie Donnelly (Tyrone) 4 1 25% -0.495
Joe McMahon (Tyrone) 2 2 100% +1.202
C McGuinness (Monaghan) 2 1 50% -0.121
S O’Neill (Tyrone) 2 0 0% -0.670

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3 Responses to “Monaghan V Tyrone 2013”

  1. Charlie Hardy Says:

    The analyses here are great but it would be realy good if you would be willing to contribute to the debate about foul play by giving a positional (like your shot pitch based analysis) fouling analysis with yellow and red symbols for those events included and if a score resulted, Also a time based analysis of fouls i.e. per quarter broken down by technical vs personal fouls or something silimlar with good metadata to help us understand the classification you are using. Thanks for your great contribution to the understanding of gaelic games for the bystander like me who likes an evidence base for comments whilst not losing the soul or spirit of our great games

  2. dontfoul Says:

    I think something similar to shots, for fouls, is a logical step however is just not something I could commit to.

    Without playing the “woe is me” card to do something like that on frees, as well as shots & kickouts, would just take too long.

  3. Donegal V Tyrone 2015 Ulster Championship | dontfoul Says:

    […] 2013 Niall Morgan had a poor day converting one from six however he was in the main attempting very […]

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