Meath V Wexford 2013

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Meath 35 30 86% 19 63% +2.6226
Wexford 35 31 89% 13 42% -0.3747
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

It was there for Wexford but this game was won by Meath’s superior Success Rather than lost by anything Wexford did/didn’t do. Having said that Meath’s high Success Rate is in no small way helped by Wexford continually fouling Meath forwards within Newman’s range.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Meath 19 10 53% +1.4794
Wexford 23 8 35% -3.074
2012 team avgs 20.14 9.36 46.5%

Good returns from Meath – and even more impressive if Stephen Bray’s off day is omitted. Removing Bray from the equation (theoretical I know as he did actually take the shots!) Meath’s returns would be; Success Rate of 75% (8 out of 12) and a weighting of +2.655

Wexford’s shooting was poor. Lyng, Brosnan & Barry produced basically average returns which meant that none were able to cover for Banville’s very poor day (converted 1 of 6 chances).

Not only will Meath be concerned with the volume of shots that they conceded but when Wexford were dominant in the first half Meath only got pressure on one of their opening eight shots. This did improve from midway through the first half where Meath managed to pressure 80% of the remaining shots but with Dublin on the horizon they will need to ensure this pressure is present from throw in.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
M Newman (Meath) 11 9 82% +1.143
C Lyng (Wexford) 4 3 75% +0.114
B Brosnan (Wexford) 4 2 50% -0.787
2012 team avgs 6.88 4.6 66.9%

Brosnan had a poor day as he missed a relatively simple free from in front of goal just before half time whilst Lyng was basically average as he also missed a simple enough free from the right on the 21m line.

Newman was excellent. A lot of frees were of the type that a good free taker would be expected to convert – the main point is that he did convert them. As a result his weighting makes this the 3rd best deadball performance in 2013 behind Murphy’s performance against Down & Goulding’s against Kerry.

Wexford’s discipline deserted them in the second half. Giving a team, that has as deadly a marksman as Newman in its ranks, 9 frees in a half is very poor. The argument is made that they were run ragged and chasing the game *but* seven of those frees came before the 60th minute and they were never more than three points behind during that period.

Shot Charts
Meath’s shooting

Meath shooting

Wexford’s shooting

Wexford shooting

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, white = play

Kickouts
Meath-Wexford kickouts

There’s not much sophistication in the Meath kickout strategy. They hit it long 95% of the time (21/22) and down the middle 73% of the time (16/22). As the above table shows however it worked for them as they got 6 more possessions and 5 more shots than Wexford from their own kickouts

They were equally adept on Wexford’s long kick outs as they won possession on 62% of those (8 out of 13). The problem in the Leinster final is that Dublin’s kickouts are a lot more sophisticated than hitting them long. On any Wexford kickout that did not go past the 65m line Meath only won possession on 17% (2 out of 12).

If Meath replicate this against Dublin then their own kickouts will be very predictable (though that does not necessarily mean Dublin can gain parity) whilst Dublin will have control over their own kickouts.

Players with >= 2 shots from play
Bray & Banville’s poor day was highlighted earlier but both Byrne & Reilly had excellent displays up front for Meath. In Meath’s two games to date he has converted 73% (8 from 11) with a combined weighting of +2.993

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Bray (Meath) 7 2 29% -1.176
PJ Banville (Wexford) 6 1 17% -2.026
G Reilly (Meath) 5 4 80% +1.747
C Lyng (Wexford) 4 2 50% +0.036
P Byrne (Meath) 3 3 100% +1.728
B Malone (Wexford) 3 2 67% +0.028
B Brosnan (Wexford) 3 1 33% -0.111
A Flynn (Wexford) 2 1 50% +0.140
E Wallace (Meath) 2 1 50% -0.121
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