Kerry V Cork 2013

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kerry 37 33 89% 17 52% +0.9428
Cork 30 26 87% 17 65% +4.8194
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

A cursory glance at the above table would lend one to believe that Cork were much the better team – their Shot Rate was on a par with Kerry’s; their Success Rate was above Kerry’s whilst their weighting was as good as you’ll find. Lies, damned lies and statistics eh?

Cork’s problems stemmed from the fact that they did not get enough attacking ball. Their Shot Rate may have been very similar to Kerry’s but that still produced 7 less shots. The very high weighting shows that the shots they did take were of a generally higher tariff but they just did not get enough of them.

As a comparison in the three games against Kerry in 2010 & 2012 (see here) Cork had an average of 37.67 possessions and 30.33 shots. In a tight game, as these games generally are, not having those 5 extra shots proved decisive.

Kerry’s game plan was excellent. In the first half they took 12 shots from inside 25m scoring 1-07; by comparison Cork scored 0-02 from 3 shots within 25m. Kerry’s Success Rate was bang on average because their second half returns dropped whilst their long range shooting (from play) was poor overall. Kerry only had a Success Rate of 13% (1 from 8) from shots taken from play outside c35m.

In the three games referenced above Kerry averaged 24 shots. Just as Cork found it hard to overcome the 5 shots they dropped they equally could not afford to allow Kerry to have an extra 9 shots.

Shots from Play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Kerry 26 11 42% -0.4357
Cork 18 10 56% +3.1267
2012 team avgs 20.14 9.36 46.5%

Cork were very poor shooting from play early on. They only converted 36% (4 from 11) until the 54th minute with 4 of those 7 misses not having any Kerry pressure on the shot. After that they hit 86% (6 from 7) with Hurley’s saved goal shot in injury time being the only miss.

As stated above Kerry were very good at moving the ball in close for a shot in the first half and though they were racking up scores the relative ease of the shots meant that their weighting wasn’t dramatic. Indeed the shooting was so poor out the field that their Success Rate, at bang on the average of 42%, was less than those in the three previous games – 44% & 45% in the two 2010 games plus 45% in 2012.

If there is a concern from Kerry it will not only be the volume of shots in the second half (7 in the final 30 minutes) but also who took them. The two O’Sullivans & O’Donoghue had great joy in the first half (5 from 9)however in those final 30 minutes the shooters were M O’Sé, Buckley, T O’Sé , Walsh, T O’Sé, Maher & Crowley. Only Crowley & M O’Se converted

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
C Cooper (Kerry) 4 3 75% -0.064
B Kealy (Kerry) 1 1 100% +0.500
B Sheehan (Kerry) 1 1 100% +0.500
J Buckley (Kerry) 1 1 100% +0.442
D Goulding (Cork) 7 6 86% +1.637
D O’Connor (Cork) 1 1 100% +0.442
2012 team avgs 6.88 4.6 66.9%

This is an area that Kerry have struggled in to date ( see here) but it was a tower of strength for them in this game with Sheehan & Kealy converting two enormous frees.

Goulding had a magnificent day from the ground with his only miss coming from past the 45m way out on the right. His returns place him squarely on top of the deadball charts.

Questions however need to be asked however over the decision to go for a point with the last 45. Whose call was it – the players on the pitch? The sideline? Or worse still was there no communication at all? The timings were as follows

70:30 Hurley’s shot is saved
71:07 Ball is placed for 45m
71:28 Ball sails over crossbar
71:58 Ball kicked out
72:05 Free to Kerry with no more action thereafter

What is the strategic thought process when that ball goes wide? Try for a draw (through 3 points or a goal) or go for a win with a point & a goal? If you are going for a draw through three points you cannot take 58 seconds from the wide to the ball going over the bar. Even if you get the score quickly you need four things to happen – win possession, score from shot, win possession & score from shot.

By going for a point here the process cannot be going for a win surely? You cannot rationally expect to score a goal on the next kickout – it is possible but as a strategic option?

The only option Goulding had here was to drop the ball in and get a goal chance from the 45m directly or from the next attack should Kerry defend that. By going for the point the logic was either flawed by going for a win or the execution in a very, very (too?) small timeframe was too slow.

Shot Charts
Kerry’s shooting

Kerry shooting

Cork’s shooting

Cork shooting

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, white = play

Kickouts
Kerry Cork kickouts

Again a bit of a surprising return however like the shooting this was a game of two halves. Kerry won possession on 56% (15 of 27) of the kickouts in the first half whereas Cork won 68% (17 of 25) in te second.

What Kerry were excellent at was moving the ball into an attacking position from the primary possession they won. They won possession from kickouts on five fewer occasions than Cork yet managed to get the ball into the Cork’s 45 on two more occasions.

One thing to note is that Kerry didn’t really use the short kickout. The one time they did try it the ball went over the sideline and gave Cork good field position.

Players with >= 2 shots from play
It is a almost a requirement for defenders to get up the field and shoot, as evidenced by T O’Sé and Loughrey taking 6 shots between them however I’m sure O’Sé will be working on his finishing in the coming weeks!

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
J O’Donoghue (Kerry) 4 3 75% +1.377
Declan O’Sullivan (Kerry) 4 2 50% +0.155
A Walsh (Cork) 4 1 25% -0.388
T O’Sé (Kerry) 4 0 0% -1.848
B Hurley (Cork) 3 2 67% +0.683
P Kerrigan (Cork) 3 1 33% -0.074
P Galvin (Kerry) 3 1 33% -0.291
A Maher (Kerry) 3 1 33% -0.465
J Loughrey (Cork) 2 2 100% +1.286
D O’Connor (Cork) 2 1 50% +0.355
Darren O’Sullivan (Kerry) 2 1 50% +0.007
J Buckley (Kerry) 2 0 0% -0.748
Advertisements

Tags: , , ,

One Response to “Kerry V Cork 2013”

  1. Kerry V Cork Preview 2015 Munster Championship | dontfoul Says:

    […] transcripts of the three games can be found at 2012, 2013, […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: