Roscommon V Mayo 2013

For those new to the blog, or who haven’t been here for a while, please find a refresher on the definitions and how the numbers are compiled here

Overall

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Weighting
Roscommon 32 26 81% 9 35% -3.912
Mayo 43 37 86% 21 57% -0.369
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

Considering the fact that they scored 0-21, and have a success rate above average, it may come as a surprise to see a weighting below zero. This is due to the type of shot missed. Mayo had 11 attempts from play at a score from Sector8 yet only converted five. Of those six misses five came in the second half and was an indication of the malaise that set into the game post half time.

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
1st Half 11 8 73% +2.617
2nd Half 16 6 38% -2.175

The above table shows the difference in Mayo’s shooting from play from one half to the next. Mayo were razor sharp in the first half when the game was “live”. Once the contest had abated their accuracy wained.

Shots from play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
Roscommon 20 5 21% -3.137
Mayo 27 14 52% +0.442
2012 avg 20.14 9.36 46.47%

Overall Mayo’s shooting from play was average but Roscommon’s was abysmal. Yes it could be said they took on shots in the second half, through sheer frustration, that they wouldn’t normally attempt had the game been close but in the first half they only hit 33% (3/9).

One notable feature of the game was the difference in the pressure being applied to the forward as they were in the act of shooting. Whilst the game should have had some intensity in the first half Mayo got 63% (7 of 11 shots) of their shots off without any pressure. On the flipside they applied pressure to 100% (9 from 9) of Roscommon’s first half shots.

Shots from deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
S Kilbride (Roscommon) 4 3 75% +0.015
D Smith (Roscommon) 2 1 50% -0.790
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 5 5 100% +0.476
A Freeman (Mayo) 3 2 67% -0.248
D Clarke (Mayo) 1 0 0% -0.481
K O’Malley (Mayo) 1 0 0% -0.558
2012 team avgs 6.88 4.6 66.9%

In Cillian O’Connor’s absence Kevin McLoughlin carried over his league form. In the 5 Mayo league games charted he hit 90% (5/6) – again in this game he hit 100%. None of the frees he is asked to take would be deemed difficult – the longer ones were left to the two goalies and Freeman – but what else can you ask of what is essentially your back up free taker other than consistency?

I am unsure as to why Mayo asked the two goalies to take the long frees. McLoughlin showed he has good leg strength with the one from c38m.

Shot Charts
I’m not sure if it was just randomness or the fact that Mayo’s two best winners of primary possession up front, Freeman & Moran, were steering their runs out to the right, but there was a marked difference in where Mayo shot from when comparing the two halves. Almost everything from play came from the right in the second half.

This can be seen in the Mayo shot chart with 2nd half shots from play in black and 1st half in white.

Mayo’s shooting

Mayo Shooting

Roscommon’s shooting

Roscommon shooting

x = missed, disc = score, yellow = deadball, white = play

Kickouts
Kickouts

Roscommon did quite well in the kickout department. I am sure pre game they would have been glad to hold Mayo to 55% given the presence of the O’Shea brothers.

From this vantage we do not know what Mayo’s view of a good kickout return is. What is their risk appetite? When they went short they only got a shot off 33% (3/9) of the time but they controlled the ball. They had a shot differential of +3

When they went past the 45m line with their kickouts they converted 83% (5/6) of those they won into shots however they also gave Roscommon 4 shots from the 7 they won. A shot differential of +1.

So do you go long and get more shots but risk the opposition also getting shots? Or go short and convert less of that possession to shots but don’t give the opposition much in the way of shooting opportunities?

Players with >= 2 shots from play
In the last Mayo game (Vs Galway) the one player I called out was Alan Dillon. At that stage he had hit 11 from 12 shots in his last 4 Mayo games charted. And of course he goes and throws in a stinker. He wasn’t alone; I’m sure Cathal Shine would like some of those wayward attempts back.

Colm Boyle had a nice game but overall the shooting was widely dispersed with average enough displays

Shots Scores Success Rate Weighting
A Dillon (Mayo) 5 1 20% -1.558
C Shine (Roscommon) 4 0 0% -1.601
C Boyle (Mayo) 3 2 67% +0.863
C Devaney (Roscommon) 3 1 33% -0.353
R Feeney (Mayo) 3 1 33% -0.649
D Coen (Mayo) 2 2 100% +1.23
E Smith (Roscommon) 2 2 100% +1.185
A Moran (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.14
K Higgins (Roscommon) 2 1 50% +0.13
K Mannion (Roscommon) 2 1 50% +0.074
L Keegan (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.056
A Freeman (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.196
A O’Shea (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.196
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.342
S Kilbride (Roscommon) 2 0 0% -0.645
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