Tyrone V Kerry 2013 League

Rather than throwing in a load of clichés about this being a game of two halves lets actually look at the two halves.

1st Half

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Tyrone 18 12 67% 5 42% -0.9746
Kerry 24 22 92% 14 64% +3.2497

2nd Half

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Tyrone 22 20 91% 9 45% -0.4903
Kerry 12 9 75% 3 33% -2.16

Kerry prevailed because when they had their period of dominance they converted a lot more of their chances. On average a team scores 52% of all shots so to hit 64% in one half is excellent. On the flip side Tyrone only converted 45% of their shots whilst they had their dominant half.

Looking at the game Tyrone appeared off the pace in the first half and I expected this to be borne out in the stats. It’s not that clear however; of the 20 shots Kerry took in the first half 40% (8 out of 20) were done so without any Tyrone pressure. In the 2nd half 35% (5 of 15) of Tyrone’s shots were taken without any pressure.

Kerry’s shooting, despite the second half drop off, was just better.

FROM PLAY

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Tyrone 23 9 39% -1.337
Kerry 26 14 54% +1.9842
2012 avg 20.14 9.36 46.47%

Again excellent shooting from Kerry. Their full forward line had a conversion rate of 67% (8 points from 12 shots) with a combined Expected Return of +2.1073

Tyrone’s shooting letting them down. Part of this is down to the mad scramble towards the end when Martin Penrose hit the post and Séan Cavanagh had a shot saved prior to Mark Donnelly’s goal but doesn’t entirely explain away the poor return. Up until that point Tyrone had 4 shots at goal with Stephen O’Neill they only one to convert. Converting 2 shots from 7 from in front of goal will hurt all measurements.

FROM DEADBALLS

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
C Cooper (Kerry) 2 2 100% +0.3298
J Buckley (Kerry) 2 1 50% -0.3913
B Sheehan (Kerry) 1 0 0% -0.8333
N Morgan (Tyrone) 3 1 33% -0.4666
D McCurry (Tyrone) 2 2 100% +0.3298
Joe McMahon (Tyrone) 2 1 50% +0.4
R O’Neill (Tyrone) 1 1 100% +0.1667
Séan Cavanagh (Tyrone) 1 0 0% -0.8333
team avgs 6.88 4.60 66.9%

As has been pointed out on the blog before Kerry have a problem with deadballs. Again they had a negative return and again Brian Sheehan shanked a simple one (see the Mayo game also )

Tyrone’s free taking was a mixed bag. Cavanagh missed a rather easy one whilst Joe McMahon boomed over a long-range free. Morgan has some distance on his shots and if he can up his accuracy it will be a potent weapon in the Summer

KICKOUTS

Team Won % Turned into Attack % Turned into Shot %
Tyrone 21 44% 16 76% 13 62%
Kerry 27 56% 20 74% 19 70%

In terms of kickouts won this was a par performance from Kerry (won 60% Vs Kildare, 58% Vs Mayo & 56% against Dublin). What was key was their ability to convert that hard-won possession in to shots. The highest they had achieved in the three aforementioned games was 41% so to get a shot from 70% of the kickouts they won was an excellent return.

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Declan O’Sullivan (Kerry) 5 3 60% +0.4717
Séan Cavanagh (Tyrone) 5 2 40% +0.1143
T O’Sé (Kerry) 5 2 40% -0.3808
K Donaghy (Kerry) 4 3 75% +1.0994
Stephen O’Neill (Tyrone) 4 2 50% +0.078
J Lyne (Kerry) 4 1 25% -0.7081
Darran O’Sullivan (Kerry) 3 2 67% +0.5362
M Penrose (Tyrone) 3 0 0% -1.4
J Buckley (Kerry) 2 2 100% +1.241
C Clarke (Tyrone) 2 2 100% +1.0036
D McCurry (Tyrone) 2 0 0% -0.7826
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