Mayo V Donegal 2013 League

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Mayo 41 26 63% 11 42% -2.272
Donegal 39 19 49% 9 47% -1.200
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

Both teams had an above average volume of possessions but were quite poor at converting these possessions to shots. This can be indicative of two things;
• defences dropping back granting the opposition possession but effectively pressuring the ball once inside the perceived scoring zone or
• sloppy passing leading to turnovers and unsupported players running into defensive cul de sacs

There was probably an element of both in this game

FROM PLAY

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Mayo 17 6 35% -1.222
Donegal 13 6 46% 0.1088
2012 avg 20.14 9.36 46.47%

Donegal’s shooting was bang on average – they just didn’t get enough shots off. Mayo had a bad day on the shooting front however they can take solace from the fact that had 3 shots at goal – Donegal didn’t have any.

FROM DEADBALLS

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
C O’Connor (Mayo) 7 4 57% -0.9538
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 1 1 100% +0.4519
E Varley (Mayo) 1 0 0% -0.5481
M Murphy (Donegal) 3 2 67% +0.2264
C McFadden (Donegal) 3 1 33% -1.536
team avgs 6.88 4.60 66.9%

This was a surprising outcome for both teams. As has been pointed out in the blog many times Murphy & McFadden were a deadly accurate combo from deadballs for Donegal last year whilst in the All Ireland series O’Connor hit 81% of frees with an Expected Return of +2.39.

Both teams will be hoping that as the sharpness returns towards the Summer months so will the deadball accuracy.

KICKOUTS

Team Won % Turned into Attack % Turned into Shot %
Mayo 18 56% 12 67% 7 39%
Donegal 14 44% 9 64% 5 36%

On the face of it this looks like a very even contest however Mayo can be quite pleased with their returns here. They won 69% of their own kickouts (9 of 13) however were very competitive on Donegal’s winning 47% (9 of 19). The corollary of course is that Donegal only gained primary possession on 53% of their own kickouts

The teams were very similar in what they did with the kickout possession they won; Mayo just happened to win more primary possession.

One other point of interest might be around the type of kickouts. There were 4 short kickouts (inside the 45m line) with none of them leading to a possession in the opponents 45m line. This is quite unusual and is indicative of the defensive shield both teams adapted – slow, risk averse, possession based kickouts were very ineffective.

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
C McFadden (Donegal) 3 2 67% +0.5537
R Kavanagh (Donegal) 3 1 33% -0.2917
E Varley (Mayo) 2 2 100% +0.8325
M Murphy (Donegal) 2 1 50% +0.223
C O’Connor (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.1386
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.138
B Moran (Mayo) 2 0 0% -0.7276
L Keegan (Mayo) 2 0 0% -0.7731
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