Mayo V Tyrone 2013 League

In a one point game a gap of 2.75 points on the Expected Return leads to the conclusion that the game wasn’t won on any one particular incident or decision’s referee. Instead its victor was due to the difference in quality of the two team’s shooting.

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Mayo 38 25 66% 12 48% -2.396
Tyrone 34 25 74% 13 52% +0.3343
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

Tyrone were more or less average; as can be seen below their deadball shooting was as average as average can be with an Expected Return of -0.02 whilst their shooting from play was +0.35. I haven’t seen their goalkeeper before but on the two frees he converted he possessed a lot of ‘leg’. If his accuracy is as good as his distance he could be a vital weapon for the rest of the year.

Mayo’s shooting from play was very poor (Expected Return -1.99) with only 4 of 13 shots converted. The *strange* outcome from this game was that the malaise was right throughout the team. No one had more than 2 shots from play; five players took one shot with all bar one of those shots missing.
On paper 8 points from frees would appear to be a healthy return however overall Mayo’s deadball striking was poor. Jason Doherty particularly struggled with an Expected Return of -1.01; he missed two frees inside the 21m line, a 45 and bizarrely also had a long range free blocked.

From play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Mayo 13 4 31% -1.986
Tyrone 18 8 44% +0.3565
2012 avg 20.14 9.36 46.47%

From deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
J Doherty (Mayo) 9 5 56% -1.014
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 3 3 100% +0.604
N Morgan (Tyrone) 2 2 100% +0.3096
Stephen O’Neill (Tyrone) 2 1 50% -0.1171
Séan Cavanagh (Tyrone) 2 1 50% -0.6667
D McCurry (Tyrone) 1 1 100% +0.4519
team avgs 6.88 4.60 66.9%

KICKOUTS
The below table shows how dominant Mayo were on kickouts – not only that but they were dominant on Tyrone’s kickouts(Mayo won 15 of 20) as well as their own (won 17 of 22). What will disappoint Mayo though is how few possessions (control of the ball inside Tyrone’s 45), and subsequently shots, they turned that possession into.

I guess if any game shows that you don’t have to win the kickout battle to win the game then this is it!

I praised Tyrone’s goalkeeper earlier but he, or the sideline’s gameplan, put the team under enormous pressure towards the end of the game. A’O Shea plucked one from the sky lifting the crowd and then from the 4 subsequent kickouts Mayo scored 1-2 and had a shot. All kickouts basically went long and into the midfield scrum – under pressure they kicked straight into Mayo’s strength.

Team Won % Turned into Attack % Turned into Shot %
Mayo 32 76% 19 59% 12 38%
Tyrone 10 24% 9 90% 6 60%

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Séan Cavanagh (Tyrone) 4 1 25% -0.5501
P Harte (Tyrone) 3 2 67% +0.4648
C McAlliskey (Tyrone) 3 1 33% -0.1228
P McNamee (Tyrone) 3 1 33% -0.2966
L Keegan (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.2232
K Higgins (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.1105
Stephen O’Neil (Tyrone) 2 1 50% +0.0925
D Vaughan (Mayo) 2 1 50% -0.037
M Conroy (Mayo) 2 0 0% -0.9075
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