Mayo V Kerry 2013 League

Throughout the game Kerry had, more or less, the same Possession as Mayo (34 V 30). It was what they did with that possession that differed.

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Mayo 34 26 76% 15 58% +1.021
Kerry 30 18 60% 7 39% -1.35
2012 avg 35.28 27.02 76.6% 13.96 51.67%

The headline stat from the game was that Kerry didn’t score during the second half. This outcome is a function of two processes; namely how you use that possession to engineer a shot and how you execute that shot. As can be seen Kerry’s conversion rate of possessions to shots was low whilst their accuracy in shooting was very poor.

From play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Mayo 16 8 50% +1.405
Kerry 13 6 46% +0.573
2012 avg 20.14 9.36 46.47%

Interestingly enough the percentage of the team’s total shots that came from play was much higher for Kerry (13 of 18 = 72%; 60% for Mayo). Kerry’s defense was very ill disciplined giving Mayo a steady stream of easier shooting opportunities from frees. Mayo’s shooting from play was very good. Despite converting a similar number of shots to Kerry their Expected Return was much higher – they converted more difficult chances than Kerry.

From deadballs

Player Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
J Doherty (Mayo) 6 5 83% +0.1748
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 3 2 67% -0.0406
J Buckley (Kerry) 2 1 50% +0.0384
D Clarke (Mayo) 1 0 0% -0.5185
B Sheehan (Kerry) 1 0 0% -0.558
C Cox (Kerry) 1 0 0% -0.558
J O’Donoghue (Kerry) 1 0 0% -0.8452
team avgs 6.88 4.60 66.9%

This makes poor reading for Kerry. They only converted one free from 5. In the absence of Sheehan they had 3 different shooters – a lack of confidence in one particular player? On the flip side they conceded 9 frees from which Mayo took a shot (the 10th was a 45).
Although Mayo converted 70% of their deadballs the Expected Return showed a below average performance. The average intercounty free taker would have converted closer to 80%.

KICKOUTS

Team Won % Turned into Attack % Shot %
Mayo 15 42% 9 60% 7 47%
Kerry 21 58% 12 57% 5 24%

Kerry had a clear advantage in winning the kickout battle but what they did with that possession was ponderous. Mayo, despite winning 6 less kickouts, manufactured 2 more shots from the kickouts they won.

Kerry won possession on 71% of their own kickouts (15 out of 26; Mayo were 60%) however only managed to turn 2 of these possessions into a shot. It is no use winning the kickout battle if you do not do anything with the ball.

Players with >= 2 shots from play

As stated earlier Mayo’s shooting from play was very good with Conroy & Varley leading the way.

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
M Conroy (Mayo) 4 3 75% +1.3616
J O’Donoghue (Kerry) 4 2 50% +0.4584
C Cox (Kerry) 3 1 33% -0.1447
R Feeney (Mayo) 3 1 33% -0.2297
J Doherty (Mayo) 3 1 33% -0.3641
E Varley (Mayo) 2 2 100% +1.2269
K McLoughlin (Mayo) 2 1 50% +0.138
P Curtin (Kerry) 2 0 0% -1.033
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2 Responses to “Mayo V Kerry 2013 League”

  1. Kerry V Dublin 2013 League | dontfoul Says:

    […] one positive for Kerry was that their free kicks improved (see the previous game’s returns here). The problem was the volume of deadballs. On average a shot from a deadball comes every 5.1 […]

  2. Tyrone V Kerry 2013 League | dontfoul Says:

    […] Again they had a negative return and again Brian Sheehan shanked a simple one (see the Mayo game also […]

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