2012 Performances; Best & Worst

A few notes before launching into the best & worst performances. The returns here are based on the updated returns – combining 2010 & 2012 data. This may differ from the individual game returns in the blog. This is due to the fact that the success rates, and Return Vs Expected returns, were getting updated throughout the season. I won’t be going back to change all the historical individual returns; if doing comparisons you can take the below as the more accurate, or “correct” return.

One of the surprising things was finding the number of games where there were multiple excellent/terrible performances in the one game. It appears that individual players play up to the challenge when confronted by an opponent ‘on fire’. Conversely there also appears to be a ‘playing down to their level’ effect.

Just a quick reminder of how the segments are defined

Top 10 performances

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
C McFadden Donegal V Cavan +2.7204 9 7 78%
A Dillon Mayo V Down +2.3649 4 4 100%
R Munnelly Laois V Meath +2.3588 6 5 83%
A Carr Down V Mayo +2.1889 7 7 100%
E Keating Cavan V Donegal +2.0501 7 5 71%
A Flynn Weford V Longford +1.9341 7 5 71%
B Kavanagh Longford V Wexford +1.9044 5 4 80%
C O’Neill Cork V Kerry +1.8709 6 5 83%
Declan O’Sullivan Kerry V Tyrone +1.8339 3 3 100%
M O’Shea Cavan V Cork +1.7955 4 4 100%

C McFadden Vs Cavan
McFadden’s two misses were from 45s in Sector 6. He didn’t miss another shot scoring a penalty & five frees from deadballs and converting his only shot from play. What really helped his rating was that none of the frees were from in front of the posts (4 were in sectors 4 & 6 whilst one was outside the 45m line in Sector3)

A Dillon Vs Mayo
4 attempts from play with 4 conversions; simple game really. Only one of the attempts came inside the 21m line

R Munnelly Vs Meath
A mixture of kicks from play (3 from 4) and deadballs (1 free & 1 penalty converted). The highlight of the haul was a kick from play converted from outside the 45m line. Funnily enough the only missed shot was a relatively easy one; under no pressure and in front of the goals in Sector 5. Convert that and he would have passed McFadden’s haul

A Carr Vs Mayo
Carr converted 5 from 5 on frees and chipped in with two points from play. The only reason this was not higher was that 4 of the frees were from in front of the goals; 3 from Sector 5 and 1 from Sector 8.

E Keating Vs Donegal
By some distance this was the best performance against the champions in 2012. 5 shots from play converted out of 6 with only 1 from directly in front of goal. His only shot from play ‘missed’ wasn’t due to inaccuracy but rather was blocked. His one shot from a free was from Sector6 and went wide.

Bottom 5 performances

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
B Brogan Dublin V Wexford -3.8044 9 1 11%
D Tubridy Clare V Cork -2.9496 11 3 27%
D Shine Roscommon V Galway -2.8447 9 2 22%
B Brosnan Wexford V Dublin -2.238 13 4 31%
A Carr Down V Fermanagh -1.8831 4 1 25%

B Brogan Vs Wexford
A horror showing from the 2010 player of the year. His only conversion was a free from directly in front of goal. He missed a free from Sector7 and the other 7 misses were all shots from play (1 was an attempt on goal that was saved). The 6 shots were even inconsistent with 4 going wide and 2 dropping short into the goalkeeper’s hands.

D Tubridy Vs Cork
Tubridy only scored on one, from a total of eight, shots from play. Of the seven missed two were from Sector8 (one a goal shot) whilst the other 5 came from between the 21m & 45m lines. He converted tow reasonably easy frees (Sector8 & 9) but also missed a 45 from in front of the posts

D Shine Vs Galway
No scores from 4 shots from play (1 from sector5, 2 from sector4 & 1 a shot at goal that went wide) whilst three out of five deadballs were missed. The two frees that were scored were directly in front of the posts so very little weighting is gained from these.

B Brosnan Vs Dublin
This performance was noteworthy for having the most shots in a game and also for a peculiar Jeckyll (shots from play) & Hyde (shots from frees, 45s) performance. Brosnan took 5 shots from deadballs missing all 5 (weighting of -2.9881) – one was a free from inside the 21m line whilst another was a 45 from in front of the posts. His shooting from play (weighting +0.7501) in this game however was well above average. He scored two monster points from outside the 45m line and none of the 4 misses occurred from inside the 21m line.

A Carr Vs Fermanagh
Speaking of Jekyll & Hyde … Carr is the only player to appear on the best & worst lists. Carr missed two ‘easy’ frees in this game; one from Sector5 in front of the posts and one from inside the 21m line. The free he did get was from Sector8 so this hardly had any bearing on the weighting. His final miss was a shot from play from Sector6

5 Best & Worst Performances; Deadballs (Frees & 45s)

Top 5

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
C McFadden Donegal V Cavan +1.781 7 5 71%
S Cluxton Dublin V Mayo +1.7202 3 3 100%
C O’Connor Mayo V Dublin +1.6758 7 6 86%
D O’Hare Down V Monaghan +1.269 5 5 100%
C O’Connor Mayo V Donegal +1.2483 6 5 83%

Bottom 5

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
B Brosnan Wexford V Dublin -2.9881 5 0 0%
A Carr Down V Fermanagh -1.5154 3 1 33%
T McCann Antrim V Monaghan -1.326 2 0 0%
D Shine Roscommon V Galway -1.2276 5 2 40%
E O’Flaherty Kildare V Cork -1.174 4 1 25%

5 Best & Worst Performances; From Play

Top 5

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
B Brogan Dublin V Louth +2.7927 7 6 86%
E Keating Cavan V Donegal +2.6081 6 5 83%
A Dillon Mayo V Down +2.3649 4 4 100%
A Flynn Wexford V Longford +1.9341 7 5 71%
B Kavanagh Longford V Wexford +1.9044 5 4 80%

Bottom 5

Player Game Vs Expected Shots Scores Success Rate
B Brogan Dublin V Wexford -3.1342 7 0 0%
D Tubridy Clare V Cork -2.6911 4 0 0%
B Brogan Dublin V Mayo -1.8157 4 0 0%
D Shine Roscommon V Galway -1.2276 4 0 0%
PJ Banville Wexford V Dublin -1.5899 6 1 17%
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