2012 Season Review – Part II

One of the first posts on the blog was on the segmentation of the field and how shot success varied depending on which segment the ball was taken from. This updates that piece with the 2012 numbers

Success rates – shots from play

Segment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2010 44% 31% 60% 34% 49% 37% 41% 59% 40%
2012 67% 56% 0% 40% 51% 36% 42% 54% 49%
combined avg 83% 41% 46% 36% 50% 37% 41% 57% 43%

In 2010 all shots, whether they resulted in a goal or a point, were treated the same. For comparative purposes I have done the same with 2012 in the above however I did track shots on goal in 2012. If we separate shots on goal from shots for a point then the split for segment 8 (only 1 shot for a goal occurred outside segment 8) looks like

segment 8
shots for point 67%
shots for goal 40%

That makes a lot more sense … intuitively segment 8 should have the highest returns. I’d be wary of the returns outside the 45m line as there is still limited data – only 63 shots in total from the 61 games. As for 40% conversion rate on goal shots … I sense a separate blog post on that!

Success rates – shots from frees

Segment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2010 25% 47% 42% 55% 86% 58% 78% 93% 94%
2012 33% 59% 25% 65% 82% 57% 73% 95% 75%
combined avg 30% 50% 37% 59% 85% 57% 76% 94% 87%

As highlighted in the first part of the review the returns from frees are more or less similar across the two years. To be an average inter-county free taker you have to be hitting 70%

Success rates – shots from 45s

Segment 4 5 6
2010 53% 60% 29%
2012 50% 37% 40%
combined avg 52% 48% 32%

I am constantly surprised at how relatively poor 45m striking is. Frees from segment 2 (outside the 45m line) have a success rate greater than 45s. All 45s are taken from the ground – it should be a more repetitive motion with less moving parts/variables. The numbers would have been a lot worse except for Cluxton & O’Connor hitting 6 from 6 in the semi final.

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One Response to “2012 Season Review – Part II”

  1. Conor O'Donoghue (@conorodonoghue) Says:

    Great work dontfoul. Illustrates how important it is to work it to the right areas rather than shoot on sight. Interested to see your work on goals

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