Derry Vs Donegal

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Derry 30 22 73% 9 41% -3.10
Donegal 36 27 75% 15 56% +0.40
avg 41.8 28.3 67.7% 14.1 49.8% 0.00

Going to be hard to find anything positive to say here.

Donegal were very impressive in their dismantling of Cavan and visually they appeared equally as good against Derry. The numbers however would suggest that rather than Donegal being very good Sunday’s lopsided game was about how bad Derry were.

Donegal’s returns were, more or less, in line with the average. Derry however were just not at the races. They had a poor, pondrous style of play that led to only 30 possessions within Donegal’s 45m line. Everyone knows what Donegal will do to you once you get close to goal so if you only have 30 possessions then you need to have some impressive Tyrone like Success Rate to win a game against them. Instead Derry turned in an uninspired, insipid performance up front. They had a Success Rate a notch below average but an Expected Return of -3.19 shows that they missed from some very scoreable positions.

From play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Derry 14 4 29% -2.06
Donegal 21 10 48% +0.07
avg 21.1 9.3 44.0% 0.00

From deadballs

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Paddy Bradley (Der) 5 5 100% +0.92
C Gilligan (Der) 2 0 0% -1.10
E McGuickian (Der) 1 0 0% -0.86
M Murphy (Don) 3 2 67% +0.99
C McFadden (Don) 3 2 67% -0.66
game avgs 7.3 4.8 66.5% 0.00

Again despite their supremacy Donegal#s shooting from play was just bang on average – there was some poor misses mixed in with the good play (Colm McFadden’s missed fisted point attempt at the start of the game?)

Murphy was obviously feeling his way back in – he didn’t have a shot from play. Some of the burden has been lifted from his & McFadden’s shoulders (in a scoring sense) with the play of the half forwards (David Walsh in this game, McHugh & McLoone against Cavan) and the emergence of Paddy McBrearty however they are still the main men.

The commentators were (rightly) full of praise for McBrearty’s play however it must be noted that in two games he has a combined 2 scores from 7 shots with an Expected Return of -1.21. He is young and on a learning curve so can be excused but Donegal would do well not to place too great a burden on his shoulders just yet.

Players with >= 2 shots from play

Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
P McBrearty (Don) 5 2 40% -0.50
Paddy Bradley (Der) 4 1 25% -0.60
David Walsh (Don) 3 2 67% +0.68
A Thompson (Don) 3 1 33% -0.45
C McFadden (Don) 3 1 33% -0.52
F McGlynn (Don) 2 1 50% +0.14
N Gallagher (Don) 2 1 50% +0.14
M Lynch (Der) 2 1 50% +0.04
E McGuckian (Der) 2 0 0% -0.93

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