Fermanagh Vs Down

Team Possessions Shots Shot Rate Scores Success Rate Return Vs Expected
Down 33 28 85% 12 43% -2.18
Fermanagh 33 22 67% 9 41% -2.44
avg 41.8 28.3 67.7% 14.1 49.8% 0.00

That’s just a nasty set of numbers all around. Watching the game it never felt that Fermanagh were in it yet they had the ball inside the opposition’s 45m as many times as Down did. They also had the same (poor) shooting accuracy as Down – they just didn’t pull the trigger enough.

From play

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
Down 24 11 46% -0.11
Fermanagh 16 5 31% -2.38
avg 21.1 9.3 44.0% 0.00

From deadballs

Team Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
A Carr (Down) 3 1 33% -1.56
K Duffin (Down) 1 0 0% -0.51
D Kille (Fer) 3 2 67% +0.11
S Quigley (Fer) 2 2 100% +0.23
B Mulrane (Fer) 1 0 0% -0.40
game avgs 7.3 4.8 66.5% 0.00

Previously I had noted that Antrim had a very deliberate ploy of playing defensively whilst hitting shots from the 45m line as a way of compensating for the lack of bodies up front. Fermanagh were every bit as defensive (yes they were down to 14 men but the sense from watching the game was that nothing really changed re their alignment with the red card), and their shooting was every bit as poor, but I don’t think the lack of return here can be placed on any obvious system calling for Fermanagh to take on difficult shots. They just shot very poorly from play.

I’m sure Down were just delighted to get over a game seen by many beforehand as a potential banana skin. There were, however, worrying signs in their shooting – especially from deadballs. They *did* have a wide range of shooters but no one really stepped forward to take a hold of the shooting responsibilities. Some easy frees were missed. Against a Division 4 team this was a mediocre outing.

Just a quick point on the discipline shown by both teams. Generally you will have 14 shots at goals from deadballs. Only 10 in a game shows quite a bit of discipline in the tackle.

Players with >= 3 shots from play

  Shots Scores Success Rate Vs Expected
D O’Hare (Down) 3 2 67% +0.52
D Kille (Fer) 3 1 33% -0.17
D O’Hagan (Down) 3 1 33% -0.47
C Laverty (Down) 3 1 33% -0.59

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